The strong Democratic lean of California's 6th congressional district, rated D+8 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the 96% market probability for a Democratic winner in the November general election. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat into more favorable territory for Democrats, prompting incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing a crowded field of Democratic primary candidates including Richard Pan. Recent June 2 primary results show independent Kevin Kiley leading early returns but facing structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. A Republican or independent victory would require an unprecedented swing beyond historical turnout patterns or polling baselines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$31,868 Объем
$31,868 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
3%
$31,868 Объем
$31,868 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,201 Объем
96%
Республиканская партия
$20,667 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 6th congressional district, rated D+8 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the 96% market probability for a Democratic winner in the November general election. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat into more favorable territory for Democrats, prompting incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing a crowded field of Democratic primary candidates including Richard Pan. Recent June 2 primary results show independent Kevin Kiley leading early returns but facing structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. A Republican or independent victory would require an unprecedented swing beyond historical turnout patterns or polling baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$31,868Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 6th congressional district, rated D+8 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the 96% market probability for a Democratic winner in the November general election. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat into more favorable territory for Democrats, prompting incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing a crowded field of Democratic primary candidates including Richard Pan. Recent June 2 primary results show independent Kevin Kiley leading early returns but facing structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. A Republican or independent victory would require an unprecedented swing beyond historical turnout patterns or polling baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$31,868Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 6th congressional district, rated D+8 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the 96% market probability for a Democratic winner in the November general election. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat into more favorable territory for Democrats, prompting incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing a crowded field of Democratic primary candidates including Richard Pan. Recent June 2 primary results show independent Kevin Kiley leading early returns but facing structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. A Republican or independent victory would require an unprecedented swing beyond historical turnout patterns or polling baselines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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