California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles where the Democratic nominee has carried the seat by double-digit margins. The retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley has produced an open race with a competitive Democratic primary featuring experienced candidates such as state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, while Republican challengers remain limited in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee in a commanding position. A late surge by a high-profile Republican or an unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement in voter registration or turnout patterns within Ventura County.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,373 Объем
$26,373 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$26,373 Объем
$26,373 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$14,001 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$12,373 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles where the Democratic nominee has carried the seat by double-digit margins. The retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley has produced an open race with a competitive Democratic primary featuring experienced candidates such as state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, while Republican challengers remain limited in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee in a commanding position. A late surge by a high-profile Republican or an unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement in voter registration or turnout patterns within Ventura County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$26,373Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles where the Democratic nominee has carried the seat by double-digit margins. The retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley has produced an open race with a competitive Democratic primary featuring experienced candidates such as state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, while Republican challengers remain limited in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee in a commanding position. A late surge by a high-profile Republican or an unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement in voter registration or turnout patterns within Ventura County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,373Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles where the Democratic nominee has carried the seat by double-digit margins. The retirement of longtime incumbent Julia Brownley has produced an open race with a competitive Democratic primary featuring experienced candidates such as state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, while Republican challengers remain limited in fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee in a commanding position. A late surge by a high-profile Republican or an unexpected national wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement in voter registration or turnout patterns within Ventura County.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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