Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challenger Evan Turnage has locked in the nominees for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election, reinforcing trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic hold. The district's strong partisan lean—Mississippi's most Democratic House seat with a majority-Black electorate—and Thompson's three-decade incumbency advantage explain the commanding odds, as Cook Political Report rates it Solidly Democratic amid historical blowout wins like his 70% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, a physician assistant on his third bid, faces steep barriers. Late-breaking scenarios like a Thompson health event, major scandal, or national GOP midterm surge could shift probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$800 Объем
92%
Республиканская партия
$617 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challenger Evan Turnage has locked in the nominees for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election, reinforcing trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic hold. The district's strong partisan lean—Mississippi's most Democratic House seat with a majority-Black electorate—and Thompson's three-decade incumbency advantage explain the commanding odds, as Cook Political Report rates it Solidly Democratic amid historical blowout wins like his 70% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, a physician assistant on his third bid, faces steep barriers. Late-breaking scenarios like a Thompson health event, major scandal, or national GOP midterm surge could shift probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$1,417Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challenger Evan Turnage has locked in the nominees for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election, reinforcing trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic hold. The district's strong partisan lean—Mississippi's most Democratic House seat with a majority-Black electorate—and Thompson's three-decade incumbency advantage explain the commanding odds, as Cook Political Report rates it Solidly Democratic amid historical blowout wins like his 70% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, a physician assistant on his third bid, faces steep barriers. Late-breaking scenarios like a Thompson health event, major scandal, or national GOP midterm surge could shift probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$1,417Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary over challenger Evan Turnage has locked in the nominees for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election, reinforcing trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic hold. The district's strong partisan lean—Mississippi's most Democratic House seat with a majority-Black electorate—and Thompson's three-decade incumbency advantage explain the commanding odds, as Cook Political Report rates it Solidly Democratic amid historical blowout wins like his 70% in 2024. Republican nominee Ron Eller, a physician assistant on his third bid, faces steep barriers. Late-breaking scenarios like a Thompson health event, major scandal, or national GOP midterm surge could shift probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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