The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69.5 percent. Major forecasting outlets classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and repeated GOP victories in recent cycles. A December 2025 head-to-head poll showed Republican Mark Smith narrowly ahead of Democrat Mac Deford, while the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to target the seat reflects efforts to close the gap ahead of the June 9 primaries. Recent Democratic primary debates and Republican straw-poll results have kept attention on candidate selection, yet no developments have materially altered the underlying structural advantages for the eventual Republican general-election candidate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоSC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$38,324 Объем
$38,324 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
70%
Демократическая партия
32%
$38,324 Объем
$38,324 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$6,658 Объем
70%
Демократическая партия
$31,665 Объем
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69.5 percent. Major forecasting outlets classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and repeated GOP victories in recent cycles. A December 2025 head-to-head poll showed Republican Mark Smith narrowly ahead of Democrat Mac Deford, while the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to target the seat reflects efforts to close the gap ahead of the June 9 primaries. Recent Democratic primary debates and Republican straw-poll results have kept attention on candidate selection, yet no developments have materially altered the underlying structural advantages for the eventual Republican general-election candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$38,324Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69.5 percent. Major forecasting outlets classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and repeated GOP victories in recent cycles. A December 2025 head-to-head poll showed Republican Mark Smith narrowly ahead of Democrat Mac Deford, while the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to target the seat reflects efforts to close the gap ahead of the June 9 primaries. Recent Democratic primary debates and Republican straw-poll results have kept attention on candidate selection, yet no developments have materially altered the underlying structural advantages for the eventual Republican general-election candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$38,324Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 69.5 percent. Major forecasting outlets classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and repeated GOP victories in recent cycles. A December 2025 head-to-head poll showed Republican Mark Smith narrowly ahead of Democrat Mac Deford, while the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to target the seat reflects efforts to close the gap ahead of the June 9 primaries. Recent Democratic primary debates and Republican straw-poll results have kept attention on candidate selection, yet no developments have materially altered the underlying structural advantages for the eventual Republican general-election candidate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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