The open seat created by Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan’s retirement, combined with Florida’s newly enacted congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, forms the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 70.0 percent. The redrawn district incorporates areas that strengthen its Republican tilt, prompting nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report to rate it Solid Republican. Multiple Republican primary contenders, notably Sydney Gruters, have filed ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic candidates face a narrower path in the November general election. These structural and candidate factors have shaped recent market positioning, with limited shifts expected until primary results clarify the nominees.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-16
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-16
$15,272 Объем
$15,272 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
70%
Демократическая партия
24%
$15,272 Объем
$15,272 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$5,726 Объем
70%
Демократическая партия
$9,546 Объем
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan’s retirement, combined with Florida’s newly enacted congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, forms the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 70.0 percent. The redrawn district incorporates areas that strengthen its Republican tilt, prompting nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report to rate it Solid Republican. Multiple Republican primary contenders, notably Sydney Gruters, have filed ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic candidates face a narrower path in the November general election. These structural and candidate factors have shaped recent market positioning, with limited shifts expected until primary results clarify the nominees.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Объем
$15,272Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan’s retirement, combined with Florida’s newly enacted congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, forms the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 70.0 percent. The redrawn district incorporates areas that strengthen its Republican tilt, prompting nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report to rate it Solid Republican. Multiple Republican primary contenders, notably Sydney Gruters, have filed ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic candidates face a narrower path in the November general election. These structural and candidate factors have shaped recent market positioning, with limited shifts expected until primary results clarify the nominees.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,272Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan’s retirement, combined with Florida’s newly enacted congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in early May 2026, forms the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 70.0 percent. The redrawn district incorporates areas that strengthen its Republican tilt, prompting nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report to rate it Solid Republican. Multiple Republican primary contenders, notably Sydney Gruters, have filed ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic candidates face a narrower path in the November general election. These structural and candidate factors have shaped recent market positioning, with limited shifts expected until primary results clarify the nominees.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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