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Политика·June 2 Primaries

CA-16 Primary Winners

icon for CA-16 Primary Winners
Политика·June 2 Primaries

CA-16 Primary Winners

$1,431 Объем

2 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,431 Объем

Polymarket

Sam Liccardo

$225 Объем

99%

Jotham Stein

$270 Объем

2%

Kevin Johnson

$836 Объем

33%

Peter Sundin Soulé

$100 Объем

50%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, secured roughly 75% of the vote in the June 2, 2026, California top-two primary for the 16th Congressional District, advancing comfortably alongside one Republican. The solidly Democratic district, covering parts of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties, featured limited opposition from Republican challengers Peter Soule and Kevin Johnson plus independent Jotham Stein, each receiving under 12%. Trader consensus reflects this outcome, consistent with the seat’s partisan lean and Liccardo’s prior 2024 victory margin. The general election on November 3, 2026, will pit the primary advancers against each other, though the primary market resolution hinges on official certification of who reached the top two.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$1,431
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent and former San Jose mayor, secured roughly 75% of the vote in the June 2, 2026, California top-two primary for the 16th Congressional District, advancing comfortably alongside one Republican. The solidly Democratic district, covering parts of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties, featured limited opposition from Republican challengers Peter Soule and Kevin Johnson plus independent Jotham Stein, each receiving under 12%. Trader consensus reflects this outcome, consistent with the seat’s partisan lean and Liccardo’s prior 2024 victory margin. The general election on November 3, 2026, will pit the primary advancers against each other, though the primary market resolution hinges on official certification of who reached the top two.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$1,431
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«CA-16 Primary Winners» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Sam Liccardo» с 99%, за ним следует «Peter Sundin Soulé» с 51%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«CA-16 Primary Winners» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 21, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «CA-16 Primary Winners», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «CA-16 Primary Winners» — «Sam Liccardo» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Peter Sundin Soulé» с 51%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «CA-16 Primary Winners» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.