PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because Morena's coalition secured a strong majority in 2024 and maintains institutional advantages under President Sheinbaum, making a repeat first-place finish probable. As the largest opposition party, PAN benefits from consolidated anti-incumbent support in key districts despite the fragmented Fuerza y Corazón por México alliance. PVEM trails as a Morena partner, while PRI, PT, and MC face vote-splitting and weaker national organization. A March 2026 electoral reform proposal and upcoming legislative sessions could influence party positioning, though no major shifts have yet altered the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PVEM 42%
PRI 36%
MC 25%
PT 25%

PAN
55%

PRI
36%

PT
25%

PVEM
42%

MC
25%

Morena
19%
PVEM 42%
PRI 36%
MC 25%
PT 25%

PAN
55%

PRI
36%

PT
25%

PVEM
42%

MC
25%

Morena
19%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because Morena's coalition secured a strong majority in 2024 and maintains institutional advantages under President Sheinbaum, making a repeat first-place finish probable. As the largest opposition party, PAN benefits from consolidated anti-incumbent support in key districts despite the fragmented Fuerza y Corazón por México alliance. PVEM trails as a Morena partner, while PRI, PT, and MC face vote-splitting and weaker national organization. A March 2026 electoral reform proposal and upcoming legislative sessions could influence party positioning, though no major shifts have yet altered the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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