Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 72.5% to win Alaska's at-large congressional district in the November 2026 election, driven primarily by incumbent Democrat Mary Peltola's January 12 announcement to vacate the seat and challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) in the U.S. Senate race. This opens a Republican-leaning battleground under Alaska's top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system, where the state has consistently backed GOP presidential nominees since statehood except once. No major House candidates have filed yet ahead of the August primary, but historical narrow GOP losses to Peltola in 2022 and 2024 suggest a stronger path-to-victory without her incumbency advantage. Midterm dynamics and low early polling amplify uncertainty for Democrats recruiting a replacement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Дом AK-AL
Победитель выборов в Дом AK-AL
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
71%
Демократическая партия
28%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
71%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 72.5% to win Alaska's at-large congressional district in the November 2026 election, driven primarily by incumbent Democrat Mary Peltola's January 12 announcement to vacate the seat and challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) in the U.S. Senate race. This opens a Republican-leaning battleground under Alaska's top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system, where the state has consistently backed GOP presidential nominees since statehood except once. No major House candidates have filed yet ahead of the August primary, but historical narrow GOP losses to Peltola in 2022 and 2024 suggest a stronger path-to-victory without her incumbency advantage. Midterm dynamics and low early polling amplify uncertainty for Democrats recruiting a replacement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 72.5% to win Alaska's at-large congressional district in the November 2026 election, driven primarily by incumbent Democrat Mary Peltola's January 12 announcement to vacate the seat and challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) in the U.S. Senate race. This opens a Republican-leaning battleground under Alaska's top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system, where the state has consistently backed GOP presidential nominees since statehood except once. No major House candidates have filed yet ahead of the August primary, but historical narrow GOP losses to Peltola in 2022 and 2024 suggest a stronger path-to-victory without her incumbency advantage. Midterm dynamics and low early polling amplify uncertainty for Democrats recruiting a replacement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 72.5% to win Alaska's at-large congressional district in the November 2026 election, driven primarily by incumbent Democrat Mary Peltola's January 12 announcement to vacate the seat and challenge Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) in the U.S. Senate race. This opens a Republican-leaning battleground under Alaska's top-four primary and ranked-choice voting system, where the state has consistently backed GOP presidential nominees since statehood except once. No major House candidates have filed yet ahead of the August primary, but historical narrow GOP losses to Peltola in 2022 and 2024 suggest a stronger path-to-victory without her incumbency advantage. Midterm dynamics and low early polling amplify uncertainty for Democrats recruiting a replacement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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