Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding position in the Democratic-leaning NY-06 district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+6, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 91% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner. Meng, who has held the Queens-based seat since 2013, recently secured a key endorsement from State Sen. John Liu on March 18 amid a contested June 23 Democratic primary against challenger Chuck Liu, but no prominent Republican candidates have emerged for their primary. Historical blowout victories, including 2024, and the absence of GOP recruitment underscore the safe Democratic hold. Upsets could arise from a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, a high-profile Republican entrant, or national midterm dynamics shifting Asian American voter turnout in Flushing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNY-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
91%
Республиканская партия
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$2,614 Объем
91%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding position in the Democratic-leaning NY-06 district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+6, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 91% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner. Meng, who has held the Queens-based seat since 2013, recently secured a key endorsement from State Sen. John Liu on March 18 amid a contested June 23 Democratic primary against challenger Chuck Liu, but no prominent Republican candidates have emerged for their primary. Historical blowout victories, including 2024, and the absence of GOP recruitment underscore the safe Democratic hold. Upsets could arise from a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, a high-profile Republican entrant, or national midterm dynamics shifting Asian American voter turnout in Flushing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$2,614Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding position in the Democratic-leaning NY-06 district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+6, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 91% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner. Meng, who has held the Queens-based seat since 2013, recently secured a key endorsement from State Sen. John Liu on March 18 amid a contested June 23 Democratic primary against challenger Chuck Liu, but no prominent Republican candidates have emerged for their primary. Historical blowout victories, including 2024, and the absence of GOP recruitment underscore the safe Democratic hold. Upsets could arise from a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, a high-profile Republican entrant, or national midterm dynamics shifting Asian American voter turnout in Flushing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$2,614Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng's commanding position in the Democratic-leaning NY-06 district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+6, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 91% implied probability for the November 2026 general election winner. Meng, who has held the Queens-based seat since 2013, recently secured a key endorsement from State Sen. John Liu on March 18 amid a contested June 23 Democratic primary against challenger Chuck Liu, but no prominent Republican candidates have emerged for their primary. Historical blowout victories, including 2024, and the absence of GOP recruitment underscore the safe Democratic hold. Upsets could arise from a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, a high-profile Republican entrant, or national midterm dynamics shifting Asian American voter turnout in Flushing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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