**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% to win New York's 6th Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong partisan lean toward Democrats and incumbent Grace Meng's entrenched position since 2013.** Cook Political Report rates it Safe D, reflecting historical margins like Meng's 2022 victory and the Queens-based electorate's reliable Democratic turnout. Recent Democratic primary developments, including challenger Chuck Park's March endorsement from NYPAN amid focus on immigrant issues, pose no threat to the party's general election hold, as no prominent Republican candidate has emerged. Upsets could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, nominee scandal, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national midterm Republican wave, though structural barriers remain significant ahead of the June 23 primaries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNY-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
91%
Республиканская партия
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$2,614 Объем
91%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% to win New York's 6th Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong partisan lean toward Democrats and incumbent Grace Meng's entrenched position since 2013.** Cook Political Report rates it Safe D, reflecting historical margins like Meng's 2022 victory and the Queens-based electorate's reliable Democratic turnout. Recent Democratic primary developments, including challenger Chuck Park's March endorsement from NYPAN amid focus on immigrant issues, pose no threat to the party's general election hold, as no prominent Republican candidate has emerged. Upsets could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, nominee scandal, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national midterm Republican wave, though structural barriers remain significant ahead of the June 23 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$2,614Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% to win New York's 6th Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong partisan lean toward Democrats and incumbent Grace Meng's entrenched position since 2013.** Cook Political Report rates it Safe D, reflecting historical margins like Meng's 2022 victory and the Queens-based electorate's reliable Democratic turnout. Recent Democratic primary developments, including challenger Chuck Park's March endorsement from NYPAN amid focus on immigrant issues, pose no threat to the party's general election hold, as no prominent Republican candidate has emerged. Upsets could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, nominee scandal, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national midterm Republican wave, though structural barriers remain significant ahead of the June 23 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$2,614Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91% to win New York's 6th Congressional District House seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by the district's strong partisan lean toward Democrats and incumbent Grace Meng's entrenched position since 2013.** Cook Political Report rates it Safe D, reflecting historical margins like Meng's 2022 victory and the Queens-based electorate's reliable Democratic turnout. Recent Democratic primary developments, including challenger Chuck Park's March endorsement from NYPAN amid focus on immigrant issues, pose no threat to the party's general election hold, as no prominent Republican candidate has emerged. Upsets could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, nominee scandal, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national midterm Republican wave, though structural barriers remain significant ahead of the June 23 primaries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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