Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, reinforcing the district’s longstanding R+14 partisan lean and consistent Republican voting patterns in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district. The Democratic nominee advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal campaign resources or visibility, leaving the general election on November 3, 2026, largely uncontested in trader assessments. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current market consensus that reflects the seat’s structural advantages and lack of recent competitive developments. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national political shift, major candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though such factors remain limited by the district’s established electoral profile.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MS-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MS-03
$28,692 Объем
$28,692 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
5%
$28,692 Объем
$28,692 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$6,190 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$22,503 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, reinforcing the district’s longstanding R+14 partisan lean and consistent Republican voting patterns in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district. The Democratic nominee advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal campaign resources or visibility, leaving the general election on November 3, 2026, largely uncontested in trader assessments. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current market consensus that reflects the seat’s structural advantages and lack of recent competitive developments. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national political shift, major candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though such factors remain limited by the district’s established electoral profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$28,692Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, reinforcing the district’s longstanding R+14 partisan lean and consistent Republican voting patterns in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district. The Democratic nominee advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal campaign resources or visibility, leaving the general election on November 3, 2026, largely uncontested in trader assessments. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current market consensus that reflects the seat’s structural advantages and lack of recent competitive developments. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national political shift, major candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though such factors remain limited by the district’s established electoral profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$28,692Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, reinforcing the district’s longstanding R+14 partisan lean and consistent Republican voting patterns in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district. The Democratic nominee advanced from a low-turnout primary with minimal campaign resources or visibility, leaving the general election on November 3, 2026, largely uncontested in trader assessments. Forecasters across outlets have rated the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current market consensus that reflects the seat’s structural advantages and lack of recent competitive developments. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unforeseen national political shift, major candidate-specific controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though such factors remain limited by the district’s established electoral profile.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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