Florida's 8th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage following mid-decade redistricting approved earlier this year. Incumbent Mike Haridopolos faces only nominal primary opposition on August 18 and enters the general election against Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, who pivoted her candidacy to the seat in May after the new map took effect. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest solid or likely Republican based on the district's partisan voting index and consistent historical margins. These fundamentals support the current trader consensus assigning an 82.5 percent implied probability to a Republican win in November, though primary results or late campaign developments could still shift positioning before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-08
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-08
$11,545 Объем
$11,545 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
83%
Демократическая партия
18%
$11,545 Объем
$11,545 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$5,685 Объем
83%
Демократическая партия
$5,861 Объем
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 8th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage following mid-decade redistricting approved earlier this year. Incumbent Mike Haridopolos faces only nominal primary opposition on August 18 and enters the general election against Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, who pivoted her candidacy to the seat in May after the new map took effect. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest solid or likely Republican based on the district's partisan voting index and consistent historical margins. These fundamentals support the current trader consensus assigning an 82.5 percent implied probability to a Republican win in November, though primary results or late campaign developments could still shift positioning before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Объем
$11,545Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 8th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage following mid-decade redistricting approved earlier this year. Incumbent Mike Haridopolos faces only nominal primary opposition on August 18 and enters the general election against Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, who pivoted her candidacy to the seat in May after the new map took effect. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest solid or likely Republican based on the district's partisan voting index and consistent historical margins. These fundamentals support the current trader consensus assigning an 82.5 percent implied probability to a Republican win in November, though primary results or late campaign developments could still shift positioning before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,545Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 8th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage following mid-decade redistricting approved earlier this year. Incumbent Mike Haridopolos faces only nominal primary opposition on August 18 and enters the general election against Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, who pivoted her candidacy to the seat in May after the new map took effect. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest solid or likely Republican based on the district's partisan voting index and consistent historical margins. These fundamentals support the current trader consensus assigning an 82.5 percent implied probability to a Republican win in November, though primary results or late campaign developments could still shift positioning before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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