Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott’s long tenure and the district’s consistent partisan lean have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 VA-03 House race. The seat posted a D+18 Partisan Voter Index heading into the cycle, and Scott captured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 on the current map. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and only a minor primary challenge from Justin Maffett ahead of the August 4 nominating contest. Virginia’s failed mid-decade redistricting effort left the boundaries unchanged after court and voter actions preserved the existing lines. While an unforeseen national Republican surge, a late scandal, or an unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the margin, the structural and historical factors supporting Democratic control remain the dominant influence on current pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-03
$35,433 Объем
$35,433 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
7%
$35,433 Объем
$35,433 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$20,076 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$15,357 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott’s long tenure and the district’s consistent partisan lean have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 VA-03 House race. The seat posted a D+18 Partisan Voter Index heading into the cycle, and Scott captured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 on the current map. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and only a minor primary challenge from Justin Maffett ahead of the August 4 nominating contest. Virginia’s failed mid-decade redistricting effort left the boundaries unchanged after court and voter actions preserved the existing lines. While an unforeseen national Republican surge, a late scandal, or an unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the margin, the structural and historical factors supporting Democratic control remain the dominant influence on current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$35,433Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott’s long tenure and the district’s consistent partisan lean have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 VA-03 House race. The seat posted a D+18 Partisan Voter Index heading into the cycle, and Scott captured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 on the current map. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and only a minor primary challenge from Justin Maffett ahead of the August 4 nominating contest. Virginia’s failed mid-decade redistricting effort left the boundaries unchanged after court and voter actions preserved the existing lines. While an unforeseen national Republican surge, a late scandal, or an unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the margin, the structural and historical factors supporting Democratic control remain the dominant influence on current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$35,433Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott’s long tenure and the district’s consistent partisan lean have anchored trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 VA-03 House race. The seat posted a D+18 Partisan Voter Index heading into the cycle, and Scott captured roughly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 on the current map. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and only a minor primary challenge from Justin Maffett ahead of the August 4 nominating contest. Virginia’s failed mid-decade redistricting effort left the boundaries unchanged after court and voter actions preserved the existing lines. While an unforeseen national Republican surge, a late scandal, or an unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the margin, the structural and historical factors supporting Democratic control remain the dominant influence on current pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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