Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 70 percent share in 2024. Long-serving Democratic Representative Bobby Scott faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest on the unchanged post-2020 map, after a court blocked mid-decade redistricting efforts. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to extraordinary events such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, late scandal, or unusually large national partisan swing, none of which have materialized in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-03
$35,433 Объем
$35,433 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
7%
$35,433 Объем
$35,433 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$20,076 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$15,357 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 70 percent share in 2024. Long-serving Democratic Representative Bobby Scott faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest on the unchanged post-2020 map, after a court blocked mid-decade redistricting efforts. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to extraordinary events such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, late scandal, or unusually large national partisan swing, none of which have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$35,433Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 70 percent share in 2024. Long-serving Democratic Representative Bobby Scott faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest on the unchanged post-2020 map, after a court blocked mid-decade redistricting efforts. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to extraordinary events such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, late scandal, or unusually large national partisan swing, none of which have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$35,433Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 70 percent share in 2024. Long-serving Democratic Representative Bobby Scott faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest on the unchanged post-2020 map, after a court blocked mid-decade redistricting efforts. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to extraordinary events such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, late scandal, or unusually large national partisan swing, none of which have materialized in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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