The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo secured the seat in 2024 and enters the June 2 primary with established name recognition and fundraising edges over Republican challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in the district. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually competitive primary performance or broader national political momentum, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's consistent partisan makeup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-16 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-16 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$76,170 Объем
$76,170 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$76,170 Объем
$76,170 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$48,949 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$27,220 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo secured the seat in 2024 and enters the June 2 primary with established name recognition and fundraising edges over Republican challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in the district. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually competitive primary performance or broader national political momentum, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's consistent partisan makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$76,170Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo secured the seat in 2024 and enters the June 2 primary with established name recognition and fundraising edges over Republican challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in the district. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually competitive primary performance or broader national political momentum, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's consistent partisan makeup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$76,170Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo secured the seat in 2024 and enters the June 2 primary with established name recognition and fundraising edges over Republican challengers Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in the district. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually competitive primary performance or broader national political momentum, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's consistent partisan makeup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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