Recent Emerson College polling from October 23-25 shows Democrat Sue Altman leading incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. 46%-44% in the battleground NJ-07 district, fueling trader consensus favoring Democrats at 52.5% over Republicans at 35%. Altman's fundraising edge—hauling in over $3 million more—and strong appeal to suburban independents and women voters amid national abortion debates have shifted sentiment since Kean's narrow 2022 win. Early voting trends lean Democratic, but GOP base turnout and late-deciding moderates remain pivotal ahead of November 5 Election Day in this toss-up race rated Lean Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNJ-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NJ-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
53%
Республиканская партия
35%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
53%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Emerson College polling from October 23-25 shows Democrat Sue Altman leading incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. 46%-44% in the battleground NJ-07 district, fueling trader consensus favoring Democrats at 52.5% over Republicans at 35%. Altman's fundraising edge—hauling in over $3 million more—and strong appeal to suburban independents and women voters amid national abortion debates have shifted sentiment since Kean's narrow 2022 win. Early voting trends lean Democratic, but GOP base turnout and late-deciding moderates remain pivotal ahead of November 5 Election Day in this toss-up race rated Lean Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Emerson College polling from October 23-25 shows Democrat Sue Altman leading incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. 46%-44% in the battleground NJ-07 district, fueling trader consensus favoring Democrats at 52.5% over Republicans at 35%. Altman's fundraising edge—hauling in over $3 million more—and strong appeal to suburban independents and women voters amid national abortion debates have shifted sentiment since Kean's narrow 2022 win. Early voting trends lean Democratic, but GOP base turnout and late-deciding moderates remain pivotal ahead of November 5 Election Day in this toss-up race rated Lean Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Emerson College polling from October 23-25 shows Democrat Sue Altman leading incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr. 46%-44% in the battleground NJ-07 district, fueling trader consensus favoring Democrats at 52.5% over Republicans at 35%. Altman's fundraising edge—hauling in over $3 million more—and strong appeal to suburban independents and women voters amid national abortion debates have shifted sentiment since Kean's narrow 2022 win. Early voting trends lean Democratic, but GOP base turnout and late-deciding moderates remain pivotal ahead of November 5 Election Day in this toss-up race rated Lean Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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