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Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии

Market icon

Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии

Шотландская национальная партия 94%

Reform UK 3.3%

Партия Альба 2.7%

Шотландские либеральные демократы 2.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Шотландская национальная партия 94%

Reform UK 3.3%

Партия Альба 2.7%

Шотландские либеральные демократы 2.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Шотландская национальная партия

$0 Объем

94%

Reform UK

$0 Объем

3%

Партия Альба

$0 Объем

3%

Шотландские либеральные демократы

$0 Объем

3%

Шотландская лейбористская партия

$0 Объем

2%

Шотландская партия зелёных

$0 Объем

<1%

Партия Суверенитет

$0 Объем

<1%

Шотландские консерваторы

$0 Объем

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.

If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
May 7, 2026
Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Шотландская национальная партия" at 94%, followed by "Reform UK" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 13, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии" is "Шотландская национальная партия" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Reform UK" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.