Incumbent Democratic Representative Zoe Lofgren's long-standing hold on California's 18th congressional district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district's voter registration patterns and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles have established a durable partisan advantage, with the June 2 top-two primary featuring Lofgren alongside other Democratic entrants and a single Republican challenger. This structure, combined with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Silicon Valley area, reinforces expectations for a Democratic general election victory on November 3. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome that alters the general election matchup or from late developments in national political conditions between now and Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-18 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-18 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$34,710 Объем
$34,710 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
3%
$34,710 Объем
$34,710 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$16,688 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$18,022 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Zoe Lofgren's long-standing hold on California's 18th congressional district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district's voter registration patterns and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles have established a durable partisan advantage, with the June 2 top-two primary featuring Lofgren alongside other Democratic entrants and a single Republican challenger. This structure, combined with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Silicon Valley area, reinforces expectations for a Democratic general election victory on November 3. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome that alters the general election matchup or from late developments in national political conditions between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$34,710Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Zoe Lofgren's long-standing hold on California's 18th congressional district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district's voter registration patterns and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles have established a durable partisan advantage, with the June 2 top-two primary featuring Lofgren alongside other Democratic entrants and a single Republican challenger. This structure, combined with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Silicon Valley area, reinforces expectations for a Democratic general election victory on November 3. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome that alters the general election matchup or from late developments in national political conditions between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,710Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Zoe Lofgren's long-standing hold on California's 18th congressional district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district's voter registration patterns and consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles have established a durable partisan advantage, with the June 2 top-two primary featuring Lofgren alongside other Democratic entrants and a single Republican challenger. This structure, combined with the district's urban and suburban composition in the Silicon Valley area, reinforces expectations for a Democratic general election victory on November 3. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome that alters the general election matchup or from late developments in national political conditions between now and Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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