California's 18th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic structural advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Zoe Lofgren, first elected in 1994, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, with ratings from Cook Political Report and others classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. This positioning aligns with the market's 94.7% consensus for a Democratic winner in the November general election. Republican challengers encounter persistent barriers in fundraising, organization, and turnout in the Silicon Valley-adjacent area. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely overcome the district's established partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-18 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-18 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$34,710 Объем
$34,710 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
3%
$34,710 Объем
$34,710 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$16,688 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$18,022 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 18th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic structural advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Zoe Lofgren, first elected in 1994, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, with ratings from Cook Political Report and others classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. This positioning aligns with the market's 94.7% consensus for a Democratic winner in the November general election. Republican challengers encounter persistent barriers in fundraising, organization, and turnout in the Silicon Valley-adjacent area. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely overcome the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$34,710Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 18th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic structural advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Zoe Lofgren, first elected in 1994, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, with ratings from Cook Political Report and others classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. This positioning aligns with the market's 94.7% consensus for a Democratic winner in the November general election. Republican challengers encounter persistent barriers in fundraising, organization, and turnout in the Silicon Valley-adjacent area. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely overcome the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,710Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 18th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic structural advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Zoe Lofgren, first elected in 1994, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 2 contest, with ratings from Cook Political Report and others classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. This positioning aligns with the market's 94.7% consensus for a Democratic winner in the November general election. Republican challengers encounter persistent barriers in fundraising, organization, and turnout in the Silicon Valley-adjacent area. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts have rarely overcome the district's established partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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