The Republican incumbent John McGuire holds an edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district, a rural Southside area long rated safely Republican, as traders price in the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and the district's voter base. Multiple Democratic candidates, including former U.S. Rep. Tom Perriello, are contesting the August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election, yet the field remains fragmented with limited polling shifts so far. McGuire's own August primary against challengers including Bob Good adds internal dynamics, but the overall positioning favors the GOP nominee. No major late-breaking developments have altered the landscape in recent weeks, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to the district's structural lean and early filing activity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVA-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
VA-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$52,887 Объем
$52,887 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
67%
Демократическая партия
30%
$52,887 Объем
$52,887 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$24,442 Объем
67%
Демократическая партия
$28,445 Объем
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent John McGuire holds an edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district, a rural Southside area long rated safely Republican, as traders price in the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and the district's voter base. Multiple Democratic candidates, including former U.S. Rep. Tom Perriello, are contesting the August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election, yet the field remains fragmented with limited polling shifts so far. McGuire's own August primary against challengers including Bob Good adds internal dynamics, but the overall positioning favors the GOP nominee. No major late-breaking developments have altered the landscape in recent weeks, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to the district's structural lean and early filing activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$52,887Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent John McGuire holds an edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district, a rural Southside area long rated safely Republican, as traders price in the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and the district's voter base. Multiple Democratic candidates, including former U.S. Rep. Tom Perriello, are contesting the August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election, yet the field remains fragmented with limited polling shifts so far. McGuire's own August primary against challengers including Bob Good adds internal dynamics, but the overall positioning favors the GOP nominee. No major late-breaking developments have altered the landscape in recent weeks, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to the district's structural lean and early filing activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$52,887Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican incumbent John McGuire holds an edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district, a rural Southside area long rated safely Republican, as traders price in the party's consistent performance in recent cycles and the district's voter base. Multiple Democratic candidates, including former U.S. Rep. Tom Perriello, are contesting the August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election, yet the field remains fragmented with limited polling shifts so far. McGuire's own August primary against challengers including Bob Good adds internal dynamics, but the overall positioning favors the GOP nominee. No major late-breaking developments have altered the landscape in recent weeks, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to the district's structural lean and early filing activity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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