The solidly Republican character of Virginia's 5th congressional district, which spans rural Southside areas including Lynchburg and Danville, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 71.5 percent. Incumbent John McGuire holds the seat following his 2024 victory, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican under the current map after courts blocked proposed redistricting changes. Democratic primary contenders, including former representative Tom Perriello, face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. With the August 4, 2026 primaries approaching and the general election set for November 3, limited recent polling or campaign shifts have not altered the partisan baseline reflected in market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVA-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
VA-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$52,641 Объем
$52,641 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
72%
Демократическая партия
30%
$52,641 Объем
$52,641 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$24,234 Объем
72%
Демократическая партия
$28,407 Объем
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Virginia's 5th congressional district, which spans rural Southside areas including Lynchburg and Danville, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 71.5 percent. Incumbent John McGuire holds the seat following his 2024 victory, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican under the current map after courts blocked proposed redistricting changes. Democratic primary contenders, including former representative Tom Perriello, face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. With the August 4, 2026 primaries approaching and the general election set for November 3, limited recent polling or campaign shifts have not altered the partisan baseline reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$52,641Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Virginia's 5th congressional district, which spans rural Southside areas including Lynchburg and Danville, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 71.5 percent. Incumbent John McGuire holds the seat following his 2024 victory, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican under the current map after courts blocked proposed redistricting changes. Democratic primary contenders, including former representative Tom Perriello, face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. With the August 4, 2026 primaries approaching and the general election set for November 3, limited recent polling or campaign shifts have not altered the partisan baseline reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$52,641Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Virginia's 5th congressional district, which spans rural Southside areas including Lynchburg and Danville, anchors trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 71.5 percent. Incumbent John McGuire holds the seat following his 2024 victory, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican under the current map after courts blocked proposed redistricting changes. Democratic primary contenders, including former representative Tom Perriello, face structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. With the August 4, 2026 primaries approaching and the general election set for November 3, limited recent polling or campaign shifts have not altered the partisan baseline reflected in market pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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