Following Tejano musician Bobby Pulido's 36-point Democratic primary landslide on March 3, traders have priced Democrats at 52% to win TX-15, reflecting optimism over his celebrity appeal among Hispanic voters in this Rio Grande Valley district despite its R+7 partisan lean and Rep. Monica De La Cruz's incumbency. De La Cruz, who won 57% in 2024 after flipping the seat in 2022, cruised unopposed in her primary and holds a fundraising edge with $1.9 million cash on hand. A single post-primary poll shows her up by 3 points, underscoring the toss-up dynamics amid high Democratic primary turnout. Separation could come from new polls, FEC filings, border policy debates, or midterm national trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоTX-15 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-15 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Республиканская партия
49%
Демократическая партия
52%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
49%
Демократическая партия
$438 Объем
52%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Following Tejano musician Bobby Pulido's 36-point Democratic primary landslide on March 3, traders have priced Democrats at 52% to win TX-15, reflecting optimism over his celebrity appeal among Hispanic voters in this Rio Grande Valley district despite its R+7 partisan lean and Rep. Monica De La Cruz's incumbency. De La Cruz, who won 57% in 2024 after flipping the seat in 2022, cruised unopposed in her primary and holds a fundraising edge with $1.9 million cash on hand. A single post-primary poll shows her up by 3 points, underscoring the toss-up dynamics amid high Democratic primary turnout. Separation could come from new polls, FEC filings, border policy debates, or midterm national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Объем
$438Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Following Tejano musician Bobby Pulido's 36-point Democratic primary landslide on March 3, traders have priced Democrats at 52% to win TX-15, reflecting optimism over his celebrity appeal among Hispanic voters in this Rio Grande Valley district despite its R+7 partisan lean and Rep. Monica De La Cruz's incumbency. De La Cruz, who won 57% in 2024 after flipping the seat in 2022, cruised unopposed in her primary and holds a fundraising edge with $1.9 million cash on hand. A single post-primary poll shows her up by 3 points, underscoring the toss-up dynamics amid high Democratic primary turnout. Separation could come from new polls, FEC filings, border policy debates, or midterm national trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$438Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Tejano musician Bobby Pulido's 36-point Democratic primary landslide on March 3, traders have priced Democrats at 52% to win TX-15, reflecting optimism over his celebrity appeal among Hispanic voters in this Rio Grande Valley district despite its R+7 partisan lean and Rep. Monica De La Cruz's incumbency. De La Cruz, who won 57% in 2024 after flipping the seat in 2022, cruised unopposed in her primary and holds a fundraising edge with $1.9 million cash on hand. A single post-primary poll shows her up by 3 points, underscoring the toss-up dynamics amid high Democratic primary turnout. Separation could come from new polls, FEC filings, border policy debates, or midterm national trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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