Democratic incumbent Mark Takano advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 39th congressional district with roughly 57 percent of the vote against Republican Steve Manos. The seat, located in Riverside County within the Inland Empire, carries a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating and a partisan voting index of D+7. This structural advantage, combined with Takano's established incumbency and the absence of a competitive Republican primary challenger, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The general election on November 3, 2026, remains months away, so late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals could still alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-39 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-39 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$38,985 Объем
$38,985 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$38,985 Объем
$38,985 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$26,643 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$12,342 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Mark Takano advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 39th congressional district with roughly 57 percent of the vote against Republican Steve Manos. The seat, located in Riverside County within the Inland Empire, carries a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating and a partisan voting index of D+7. This structural advantage, combined with Takano's established incumbency and the absence of a competitive Republican primary challenger, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The general election on November 3, 2026, remains months away, so late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$38,985Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Mark Takano advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 39th congressional district with roughly 57 percent of the vote against Republican Steve Manos. The seat, located in Riverside County within the Inland Empire, carries a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating and a partisan voting index of D+7. This structural advantage, combined with Takano's established incumbency and the absence of a competitive Republican primary challenger, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The general election on November 3, 2026, remains months away, so late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$38,985Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Mark Takano advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 39th congressional district with roughly 57 percent of the vote against Republican Steve Manos. The seat, located in Riverside County within the Inland Empire, carries a Cook Political Report Solid Democratic rating and a partisan voting index of D+7. This structural advantage, combined with Takano's established incumbency and the absence of a competitive Republican primary challenger, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The general election on November 3, 2026, remains months away, so late developments such as shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate health events, or unexpected scandals could still alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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