The Illinois 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins the dominant trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. LaShawn Ford secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary by prevailing over a crowded field of challengers, including significant outside spending, and now faces Republican nominee Chad Koppie in the November general election. This open-seat contest follows the retirement of longtime incumbent Danny Davis, yet the district's urban and suburban demographics in the Chicago area have delivered Democratic victories by wide margins in prior cycles. While a late-breaking scandal, unusually low turnout, or national political shift could narrow the gap, structural factors including voter registration patterns and historical results continue to anchor expectations for a straightforward Democratic hold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$17,127 Объем
$17,127 Объем
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
3%
$17,127 Объем
$17,127 Объем
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins the dominant trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. LaShawn Ford secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary by prevailing over a crowded field of challengers, including significant outside spending, and now faces Republican nominee Chad Koppie in the November general election. This open-seat contest follows the retirement of longtime incumbent Danny Davis, yet the district's urban and suburban demographics in the Chicago area have delivered Democratic victories by wide margins in prior cycles. While a late-breaking scandal, unusually low turnout, or national political shift could narrow the gap, structural factors including voter registration patterns and historical results continue to anchor expectations for a straightforward Democratic hold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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