Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st District, a seat he won by double digits in 2024 and that carries a Republican lean on most rating indexes. Nonpartisan analysts classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting consistent past performance and limited Democratic success in the district since 2016. A February poll showed Finstad narrowly ahead of Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, leading the DCCC to add the seat to its target list. The August primary and November general election timeline remain key milestones, with trader pricing reflecting these baseline advantages over recent competitive signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-01
Республиканская партия
61%
Демократическая партия
39%
Республиканская партия
61%
Демократическая партия
39%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st District, a seat he won by double digits in 2024 and that carries a Republican lean on most rating indexes. Nonpartisan analysts classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting consistent past performance and limited Democratic success in the district since 2016. A February poll showed Finstad narrowly ahead of Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, leading the DCCC to add the seat to its target list. The August primary and November general election timeline remain key milestones, with trader pricing reflecting these baseline advantages over recent competitive signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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