Trader consensus prices a Democratic Party victory at 93% in the NY-12 House general election, driven by the district's extreme Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33—the ninth most Democratic nationwide—and historical blowouts exceeding 80% for Rep. Jerry Nadler (D), who is retiring after three decades, opening a crowded June 23 Democratic primary. Early March polls show Jack Schlossberg leading a field including George Conway, Alex Bores, and Nadler-endorsed Micah Lasher, with 33% undecided amid high fundraising; the Republican primary features four lesser-known candidates like Amy Jordan, posing no evident threat in this Manhattan stronghold rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Potential shifts include a high-profile GOP recruit, a weakened Democratic nominee from primary infighting, or a national Republican midterm wave ahead of the November 3 contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-12
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-12
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic Party victory at 93% in the NY-12 House general election, driven by the district's extreme Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33—the ninth most Democratic nationwide—and historical blowouts exceeding 80% for Rep. Jerry Nadler (D), who is retiring after three decades, opening a crowded June 23 Democratic primary. Early March polls show Jack Schlossberg leading a field including George Conway, Alex Bores, and Nadler-endorsed Micah Lasher, with 33% undecided amid high fundraising; the Republican primary features four lesser-known candidates like Amy Jordan, posing no evident threat in this Manhattan stronghold rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Potential shifts include a high-profile GOP recruit, a weakened Democratic nominee from primary infighting, or a national Republican midterm wave ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Democratic Party victory at 93% in the NY-12 House general election, driven by the district's extreme Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33—the ninth most Democratic nationwide—and historical blowouts exceeding 80% for Rep. Jerry Nadler (D), who is retiring after three decades, opening a crowded June 23 Democratic primary. Early March polls show Jack Schlossberg leading a field including George Conway, Alex Bores, and Nadler-endorsed Micah Lasher, with 33% undecided amid high fundraising; the Republican primary features four lesser-known candidates like Amy Jordan, posing no evident threat in this Manhattan stronghold rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Potential shifts include a high-profile GOP recruit, a weakened Democratic nominee from primary infighting, or a national Republican midterm wave ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic Party victory at 93% in the NY-12 House general election, driven by the district's extreme Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+33—the ninth most Democratic nationwide—and historical blowouts exceeding 80% for Rep. Jerry Nadler (D), who is retiring after three decades, opening a crowded June 23 Democratic primary. Early March polls show Jack Schlossberg leading a field including George Conway, Alex Bores, and Nadler-endorsed Micah Lasher, with 33% undecided amid high fundraising; the Republican primary features four lesser-known candidates like Amy Jordan, posing no evident threat in this Manhattan stronghold rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report. Potential shifts include a high-profile GOP recruit, a weakened Democratic nominee from primary infighting, or a national Republican midterm wave ahead of the November 3 contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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