California's 14th congressional district remains a structural Democratic stronghold with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent margins above 65 percent in prior cycles. The open seat created by Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations has produced a crowded Democratic primary featuring state Senator Aisha Wahab and BART Board President Melissa Hernandez, while Republican options such as Wendy Huang lack comparable resources or name recognition. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as safe or solid Democratic. Current trader pricing reflects this entrenched advantage, though a late scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or unexpectedly high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-14 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-14 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,525 Объем
$26,525 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$26,525 Объем
$26,525 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$8,560 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$17,966 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district remains a structural Democratic stronghold with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent margins above 65 percent in prior cycles. The open seat created by Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations has produced a crowded Democratic primary featuring state Senator Aisha Wahab and BART Board President Melissa Hernandez, while Republican options such as Wendy Huang lack comparable resources or name recognition. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as safe or solid Democratic. Current trader pricing reflects this entrenched advantage, though a late scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or unexpectedly high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$26,525Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district remains a structural Democratic stronghold with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent margins above 65 percent in prior cycles. The open seat created by Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations has produced a crowded Democratic primary featuring state Senator Aisha Wahab and BART Board President Melissa Hernandez, while Republican options such as Wendy Huang lack comparable resources or name recognition. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as safe or solid Democratic. Current trader pricing reflects this entrenched advantage, though a late scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or unexpectedly high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,525Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 14th congressional district remains a structural Democratic stronghold with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent margins above 65 percent in prior cycles. The open seat created by Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations has produced a crowded Democratic primary featuring state Senator Aisha Wahab and BART Board President Melissa Hernandez, while Republican options such as Wendy Huang lack comparable resources or name recognition. All major forecasters rate the November 3 general election as safe or solid Democratic. Current trader pricing reflects this entrenched advantage, though a late scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or unexpectedly high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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