Incumbent Rep. Eric Swalwell's decision to run for governor has opened California's 14th Congressional District, a deep-blue Bay Area seat with a D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party reflecting historical margins exceeding 67% for Democrats and weak Republican fundraising. Recent candidate filings closed March 6, featuring a crowded Democratic primary field including state Sen. Aisha Wahab, Rakhi Israni amid her past donations controversy, and others against underfunded Republicans Wendy Huang and Dena Maldonado, reinforcing expectations of a top-two primary matchup between Democrats. The June 2 nonpartisan primary looms as the next catalyst, though a Republican advance would require an unprecedented surge; late scandals, health issues, or a national GOP wave remain slim upset scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоCA-14 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-14 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$11,840 Объем
$11,840 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$11,840 Объем
$11,840 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$2,287 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$9,552 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Eric Swalwell's decision to run for governor has opened California's 14th Congressional District, a deep-blue Bay Area seat with a D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party reflecting historical margins exceeding 67% for Democrats and weak Republican fundraising. Recent candidate filings closed March 6, featuring a crowded Democratic primary field including state Sen. Aisha Wahab, Rakhi Israni amid her past donations controversy, and others against underfunded Republicans Wendy Huang and Dena Maldonado, reinforcing expectations of a top-two primary matchup between Democrats. The June 2 nonpartisan primary looms as the next catalyst, though a Republican advance would require an unprecedented surge; late scandals, health issues, or a national GOP wave remain slim upset scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$11,840Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Eric Swalwell's decision to run for governor has opened California's 14th Congressional District, a deep-blue Bay Area seat with a D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party reflecting historical margins exceeding 67% for Democrats and weak Republican fundraising. Recent candidate filings closed March 6, featuring a crowded Democratic primary field including state Sen. Aisha Wahab, Rakhi Israni amid her past donations controversy, and others against underfunded Republicans Wendy Huang and Dena Maldonado, reinforcing expectations of a top-two primary matchup between Democrats. The June 2 nonpartisan primary looms as the next catalyst, though a Republican advance would require an unprecedented surge; late scandals, health issues, or a national GOP wave remain slim upset scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,840Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Eric Swalwell's decision to run for governor has opened California's 14th Congressional District, a deep-blue Bay Area seat with a D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party reflecting historical margins exceeding 67% for Democrats and weak Republican fundraising. Recent candidate filings closed March 6, featuring a crowded Democratic primary field including state Sen. Aisha Wahab, Rakhi Israni amid her past donations controversy, and others against underfunded Republicans Wendy Huang and Dena Maldonado, reinforcing expectations of a top-two primary matchup between Democrats. The June 2 nonpartisan primary looms as the next catalyst, though a Republican advance would require an unprecedented surge; late scandals, health issues, or a national GOP wave remain slim upset scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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