Delaware's at-large House seat remains a solidly Democratic district, reflected in trader consensus favoring the party by a wide margin. Incumbent Sarah McBride holds the seat after a comfortable 2024 victory and faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the September 15 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the state's longstanding partisan tilt and historical results. Republican primary candidates, including Joseph Arminio, Earl Cooper, and John Whalen III, have yet to consolidate or generate notable momentum. A major national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though structural factors and the absence of competitive indicators limit realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей DE-AL
$14,321 Объем
$14,321 Объем
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$14,321 Объем
$14,321 Объем
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's at-large House seat remains a solidly Democratic district, reflected in trader consensus favoring the party by a wide margin. Incumbent Sarah McBride holds the seat after a comfortable 2024 victory and faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the September 15 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the state's longstanding partisan tilt and historical results. Republican primary candidates, including Joseph Arminio, Earl Cooper, and John Whalen III, have yet to consolidate or generate notable momentum. A major national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though structural factors and the absence of competitive indicators limit realistic paths for an upset before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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