Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks a seventh term in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 83%. Grothman faces a primary challenge from Jonathan Peetz on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow, a union fire captain, has entered the November 3 general election contest. Limited Democratic recruitment and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements sustain the current probability distribution ahead of the August primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWI-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WI-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$17,942 Объем
$17,942 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
84%
Демократическая партия
15%
$17,942 Объем
$17,942 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$10,305 Объем
84%
Демократическая партия
$7,637 Объем
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks a seventh term in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 83%. Grothman faces a primary challenge from Jonathan Peetz on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow, a union fire captain, has entered the November 3 general election contest. Limited Democratic recruitment and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements sustain the current probability distribution ahead of the August primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$17,942Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks a seventh term in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 83%. Grothman faces a primary challenge from Jonathan Peetz on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow, a union fire captain, has entered the November 3 general election contest. Limited Democratic recruitment and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements sustain the current probability distribution ahead of the August primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$17,942Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks a seventh term in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 83%. Grothman faces a primary challenge from Jonathan Peetz on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow, a union fire captain, has entered the November 3 general election contest. Limited Democratic recruitment and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements sustain the current probability distribution ahead of the August primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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