Incumbent Rep. Bruce Westerman (R) advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary on March 3 in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20, locking in trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Westerman's consistent general election margins above 69% since 2020, unanimous "Solid" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and James Russell's narrow Democratic primary win underscore the district's entrenched GOP dominance. While a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or extraordinary national Democratic wave could shift odds, such disruptions remain highly improbable in this battleground-proof territory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоAR-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AR-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bruce Westerman (R) advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary on March 3 in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20, locking in trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Westerman's consistent general election margins above 69% since 2020, unanimous "Solid" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and James Russell's narrow Democratic primary win underscore the district's entrenched GOP dominance. While a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or extraordinary national Democratic wave could shift odds, such disruptions remain highly improbable in this battleground-proof territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Bruce Westerman (R) advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary on March 3 in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20, locking in trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Westerman's consistent general election margins above 69% since 2020, unanimous "Solid" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and James Russell's narrow Democratic primary win underscore the district's entrenched GOP dominance. While a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or extraordinary national Democratic wave could shift odds, such disruptions remain highly improbable in this battleground-proof territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Bruce Westerman (R) advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary on March 3 in Arkansas's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20, locking in trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Westerman's consistent general election margins above 69% since 2020, unanimous "Solid" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and James Russell's narrow Democratic primary win underscore the district's entrenched GOP dominance. While a major scandal, health issue for Westerman, or extraordinary national Democratic wave could shift odds, such disruptions remain highly improbable in this battleground-proof territory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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