Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23—the 15th most Republican nationally—anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's dominance after winning 73% in the 2024 Republican primary and 74% in the general. No polling exists yet, but ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Solid or Safe Republican. The GOP primary pits Lucas against challenger Michael DiMario on June 16, while Democrat Jules Roberson faces no opposition and independent Rebekah LaVann eyes the general ballot. Scenarios shifting odds include a Lucas primary upset, major scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats, though historical precedents and district math make these improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в палату представителей ОК-03
Победитель выборов в палату представителей ОК-03
$32,010 Объем
$32,010 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
7%
$32,010 Объем
$32,010 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$18,831 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$13,179 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23—the 15th most Republican nationally—anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's dominance after winning 73% in the 2024 Republican primary and 74% in the general. No polling exists yet, but ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Solid or Safe Republican. The GOP primary pits Lucas against challenger Michael DiMario on June 16, while Democrat Jules Roberson faces no opposition and independent Rebekah LaVann eyes the general ballot. Scenarios shifting odds include a Lucas primary upset, major scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats, though historical precedents and district math make these improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$32,010Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23—the 15th most Republican nationally—anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's dominance after winning 73% in the 2024 Republican primary and 74% in the general. No polling exists yet, but ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Solid or Safe Republican. The GOP primary pits Lucas against challenger Michael DiMario on June 16, while Democrat Jules Roberson faces no opposition and independent Rebekah LaVann eyes the general ballot. Scenarios shifting odds include a Lucas primary upset, major scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats, though historical precedents and district math make these improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$32,010Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23—the 15th most Republican nationally—anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's dominance after winning 73% in the 2024 Republican primary and 74% in the general. No polling exists yet, but ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Solid or Safe Republican. The GOP primary pits Lucas against challenger Michael DiMario on June 16, while Democrat Jules Roberson faces no opposition and independent Rebekah LaVann eyes the general ballot. Scenarios shifting odds include a Lucas primary upset, major scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Democrats, though historical precedents and district math make these improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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