Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23—the 15th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner, bolstered by incumbent Frank Lucas's two-decade tenure and dominant past performances, including a 73% 2024 primary win. Lucas faces token Republican primary opposition from Michael DiMario ahead of the June 16 primaries, while Democrats' Jules Roberson vies in her primary and independent Rebekah LaVann enters the November 3 general; forecasters unanimously rate it Solid Republican. Scenarios to challenge this include a GOP primary upset, scandal or health issues for Lucas, massive Democratic fundraising, or a national midterm wave depressing Republican turnout in this safe seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в палату представителей ОК-03
Победитель выборов в палату представителей ОК-03
$31,916 Объем
$31,916 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
7%
$31,916 Объем
$31,916 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$18,759 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$13,157 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23—the 15th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner, bolstered by incumbent Frank Lucas's two-decade tenure and dominant past performances, including a 73% 2024 primary win. Lucas faces token Republican primary opposition from Michael DiMario ahead of the June 16 primaries, while Democrats' Jules Roberson vies in her primary and independent Rebekah LaVann enters the November 3 general; forecasters unanimously rate it Solid Republican. Scenarios to challenge this include a GOP primary upset, scandal or health issues for Lucas, massive Democratic fundraising, or a national midterm wave depressing Republican turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$31,916Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23—the 15th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner, bolstered by incumbent Frank Lucas's two-decade tenure and dominant past performances, including a 73% 2024 primary win. Lucas faces token Republican primary opposition from Michael DiMario ahead of the June 16 primaries, while Democrats' Jules Roberson vies in her primary and independent Rebekah LaVann enters the November 3 general; forecasters unanimously rate it Solid Republican. Scenarios to challenge this include a GOP primary upset, scandal or health issues for Lucas, massive Democratic fundraising, or a national midterm wave depressing Republican turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$31,916Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23—the 15th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Republican House winner, bolstered by incumbent Frank Lucas's two-decade tenure and dominant past performances, including a 73% 2024 primary win. Lucas faces token Republican primary opposition from Michael DiMario ahead of the June 16 primaries, while Democrats' Jules Roberson vies in her primary and independent Rebekah LaVann enters the November 3 general; forecasters unanimously rate it Solid Republican. Scenarios to challenge this include a GOP primary upset, scandal or health issues for Lucas, massive Democratic fundraising, or a national midterm wave depressing Republican turnout in this safe seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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