Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains anchored by its strong Republican lean, with the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rating the seat solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Troy Downing encounters no significant primary challenge and draws support from eastern Montana’s rural and energy-producing counties, where Republican margins have routinely exceeded 20 points in recent cycles. Democratic primary candidates Sam Lux and Brian Miller have filed modest early fundraising reports ahead of the June 2 contest, leaving the general-election matchup on November 3 without a proven statewide threat. Market pricing at 92.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these structural advantages. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unexpectedly unified Democratic turnout surge could still narrow the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-02
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$6,411 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$2,914 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains anchored by its strong Republican lean, with the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rating the seat solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Troy Downing encounters no significant primary challenge and draws support from eastern Montana’s rural and energy-producing counties, where Republican margins have routinely exceeded 20 points in recent cycles. Democratic primary candidates Sam Lux and Brian Miller have filed modest early fundraising reports ahead of the June 2 contest, leaving the general-election matchup on November 3 without a proven statewide threat. Market pricing at 92.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these structural advantages. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unexpectedly unified Democratic turnout surge could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$9,324Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains anchored by its strong Republican lean, with the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rating the seat solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Troy Downing encounters no significant primary challenge and draws support from eastern Montana’s rural and energy-producing counties, where Republican margins have routinely exceeded 20 points in recent cycles. Democratic primary candidates Sam Lux and Brian Miller have filed modest early fundraising reports ahead of the June 2 contest, leaving the general-election matchup on November 3 without a proven statewide threat. Market pricing at 92.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these structural advantages. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unexpectedly unified Democratic turnout surge could still narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,324Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains anchored by its strong Republican lean, with the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rating the seat solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Troy Downing encounters no significant primary challenge and draws support from eastern Montana’s rural and energy-producing counties, where Republican margins have routinely exceeded 20 points in recent cycles. Democratic primary candidates Sam Lux and Brian Miller have filed modest early fundraising reports ahead of the June 2 contest, leaving the general-election matchup on November 3 without a proven statewide threat. Market pricing at 92.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these structural advantages. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unexpectedly unified Democratic turnout surge could still narrow the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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