In New York’s 13th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold spanning Upper Manhattan and the Bronx where President Biden won 86% in 2020, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93% to retain the seat held by incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat. Espaillat cruised through an unopposed Democratic primary on June 25, facing a low-profile Republican challenger in the November 5 general election, consistent with his 72% victory margin in 2022. All major forecasters rate NY-13 as safely Democratic, reflecting overwhelming historical turnout among key voting blocs and minimal GOP infrastructure. While late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-13
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-13
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In New York’s 13th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold spanning Upper Manhattan and the Bronx where President Biden won 86% in 2020, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93% to retain the seat held by incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat. Espaillat cruised through an unopposed Democratic primary on June 25, facing a low-profile Republican challenger in the November 5 general election, consistent with his 72% victory margin in 2022. All major forecasters rate NY-13 as safely Democratic, reflecting overwhelming historical turnout among key voting blocs and minimal GOP infrastructure. While late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In New York’s 13th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold spanning Upper Manhattan and the Bronx where President Biden won 86% in 2020, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93% to retain the seat held by incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat. Espaillat cruised through an unopposed Democratic primary on June 25, facing a low-profile Republican challenger in the November 5 general election, consistent with his 72% victory margin in 2022. All major forecasters rate NY-13 as safely Democratic, reflecting overwhelming historical turnout among key voting blocs and minimal GOP infrastructure. While late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In New York’s 13th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold spanning Upper Manhattan and the Bronx where President Biden won 86% in 2020, trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93% to retain the seat held by incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat. Espaillat cruised through an unopposed Democratic primary on June 25, facing a low-profile Republican challenger in the November 5 general election, consistent with his 72% victory margin in 2022. All major forecasters rate NY-13 as safely Democratic, reflecting overwhelming historical turnout among key voting blocs and minimal GOP infrastructure. While late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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