Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the 91.5% Republican consensus reflected in current pricing. Womack secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 3 primary, while Ryerse advanced on the Democratic side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s northwest Arkansas electorate and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. A major scandal, significant national Democratic wave, or unexpected health development could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAR-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AR-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$7,024 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$765 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the 91.5% Republican consensus reflected in current pricing. Womack secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 3 primary, while Ryerse advanced on the Democratic side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s northwest Arkansas electorate and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. A major scandal, significant national Democratic wave, or unexpected health development could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$7,788Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the 91.5% Republican consensus reflected in current pricing. Womack secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 3 primary, while Ryerse advanced on the Democratic side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s northwest Arkansas electorate and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. A major scandal, significant national Democratic wave, or unexpected health development could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$7,788Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the 91.5% Republican consensus reflected in current pricing. Womack secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 3 primary, while Ryerse advanced on the Democratic side. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s northwest Arkansas electorate and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. A major scandal, significant national Democratic wave, or unexpected health development could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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