Trader consensus heavily favors Graham Platner at over 90% implied probability to win Maine's Democratic Senate primary on June 9, driven by recent polls showing him with commanding double-digit leads over Gov. Janet Mills, including a March 19-23 Impact Research survey (66%-28%) and an Emerson College poll last week placing him at 55%. Progressive endorsements like Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 19 backing have bolstered his outsider appeal as a combat veteran and oyster farmer challenging the establishment, amid strong support across demographics including seniors and women. Scenarios that could shift odds include Mills consolidating institutional Democratic backing, effective attacks on Platner's past social media posts or a reported DUI gaining traction, or shifts in turnout favoring incumbency advantages in the ranked-choice primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн
Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн
Грэм Платнер 91%
Дженет Миллс 9%
Челли Пингри <1%
Джаред Голден <1%
$2,093,884 Объем
$2,093,884 Объем
Грэм Платнер
91%
Дженет Миллс
9%
Дэн Клебан
<1%
Челли Пингри
<1%
Джордан Вуд
<1%
Troy Jackson
<1%
Джаред Голден
<1%
Грэм Платнер 91%
Дженет Миллс 9%
Челли Пингри <1%
Джаред Голден <1%
$2,093,884 Объем
$2,093,884 Объем
Грэм Платнер
91%
Дженет Миллс
9%
Дэн Клебан
<1%
Челли Пингри
<1%
Джордан Вуд
<1%
Troy Jackson
<1%
Джаред Голден
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Graham Platner at over 90% implied probability to win Maine's Democratic Senate primary on June 9, driven by recent polls showing him with commanding double-digit leads over Gov. Janet Mills, including a March 19-23 Impact Research survey (66%-28%) and an Emerson College poll last week placing him at 55%. Progressive endorsements like Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 19 backing have bolstered his outsider appeal as a combat veteran and oyster farmer challenging the establishment, amid strong support across demographics including seniors and women. Scenarios that could shift odds include Mills consolidating institutional Democratic backing, effective attacks on Platner's past social media posts or a reported DUI gaining traction, or shifts in turnout favoring incumbency advantages in the ranked-choice primary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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