Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) holds a commanding lead in California's 29th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley seat with a D+19 partisan voting index and 65% support for Kamala Harris in 2024, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Rivas, first elected in 2024 with 69.8% of the vote, boasts strong fundraising ($434,000 cash on hand as of March 31) and endorsements from retiring predecessor Tony Cárdenas, dwarfing challengers like Angélica María Dueñas (D) and Rudy Melendez (R), who reports no funds. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics; ratings from Cook Political Report and others remain Solid Democratic. A Republican upset would require a primary surprise advancing a well-funded GOP contender, a Rivas scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout in this safe blue district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-29 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-29 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$15,477 Объем
$15,477 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$15,477 Объем
$15,477 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$10,326 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$5,151 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) holds a commanding lead in California's 29th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley seat with a D+19 partisan voting index and 65% support for Kamala Harris in 2024, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Rivas, first elected in 2024 with 69.8% of the vote, boasts strong fundraising ($434,000 cash on hand as of March 31) and endorsements from retiring predecessor Tony Cárdenas, dwarfing challengers like Angélica María Dueñas (D) and Rudy Melendez (R), who reports no funds. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics; ratings from Cook Political Report and others remain Solid Democratic. A Republican upset would require a primary surprise advancing a well-funded GOP contender, a Rivas scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout in this safe blue district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$15,477Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) holds a commanding lead in California's 29th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley seat with a D+19 partisan voting index and 65% support for Kamala Harris in 2024, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Rivas, first elected in 2024 with 69.8% of the vote, boasts strong fundraising ($434,000 cash on hand as of March 31) and endorsements from retiring predecessor Tony Cárdenas, dwarfing challengers like Angélica María Dueñas (D) and Rudy Melendez (R), who reports no funds. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics; ratings from Cook Political Report and others remain Solid Democratic. A Republican upset would require a primary surprise advancing a well-funded GOP contender, a Rivas scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout in this safe blue district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,477Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Luz Rivas (D) holds a commanding lead in California's 29th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley seat with a D+19 partisan voting index and 65% support for Kamala Harris in 2024, fueling trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Rivas, first elected in 2024 with 69.8% of the vote, boasts strong fundraising ($434,000 cash on hand as of March 31) and endorsements from retiring predecessor Tony Cárdenas, dwarfing challengers like Angélica María Dueñas (D) and Rudy Melendez (R), who reports no funds. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics; ratings from Cook Political Report and others remain Solid Democratic. A Republican upset would require a primary surprise advancing a well-funded GOP contender, a Rivas scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout in this safe blue district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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