Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana following the Supreme Court ruling against the prior congressional map have positioned Republican candidates as the frontrunner in the LA-06 race. The legislature advanced a new plan clustering the district around predominantly white communities near Baton Rouge, shifting the partisan balance after the previous configuration favored Democrats. Incumbent Cleo Fields, a Democrat, has publicly responded to the changes while primaries remain scheduled for November 2026. These map adjustments, combined with the district's updated composition, align with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 79% implied probability over the Democratic Party at 17.5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
$57,938 Объем
$57,938 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
79%
Демократическая партия
19%
$57,938 Объем
$57,938 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$31,424 Объем
79%
Демократическая партия
$26,514 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana following the Supreme Court ruling against the prior congressional map have positioned Republican candidates as the frontrunner in the LA-06 race. The legislature advanced a new plan clustering the district around predominantly white communities near Baton Rouge, shifting the partisan balance after the previous configuration favored Democrats. Incumbent Cleo Fields, a Democrat, has publicly responded to the changes while primaries remain scheduled for November 2026. These map adjustments, combined with the district's updated composition, align with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 79% implied probability over the Democratic Party at 17.5%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$57,938Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana following the Supreme Court ruling against the prior congressional map have positioned Republican candidates as the frontrunner in the LA-06 race. The legislature advanced a new plan clustering the district around predominantly white communities near Baton Rouge, shifting the partisan balance after the previous configuration favored Democrats. Incumbent Cleo Fields, a Democrat, has publicly responded to the changes while primaries remain scheduled for November 2026. These map adjustments, combined with the district's updated composition, align with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 79% implied probability over the Democratic Party at 17.5%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$57,938Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana following the Supreme Court ruling against the prior congressional map have positioned Republican candidates as the frontrunner in the LA-06 race. The legislature advanced a new plan clustering the district around predominantly white communities near Baton Rouge, shifting the partisan balance after the previous configuration favored Democrats. Incumbent Cleo Fields, a Democrat, has publicly responded to the changes while primaries remain scheduled for November 2026. These map adjustments, combined with the district's updated composition, align with the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 79% implied probability over the Democratic Party at 17.5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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