Louisiana’s Republican-controlled legislature recently approved a new congressional map that eliminates the majority-Black 6th District previously held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields. The change follows a U.S. Supreme Court ruling invalidating the prior boundaries as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. The revised lines convert the district into a White-majority area expected to favor Republican candidates in the November 3, 2026, primary and any December runoff. Traders have adjusted probabilities accordingly, viewing the map as the decisive factor in shifting the race from its former Solid Democratic rating. No major candidate announcements or legal challenges have yet altered this consensus ahead of the filing deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
$58,038 Объем
$58,038 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
78%
Демократическая партия
18%
$58,038 Объем
$58,038 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$31,524 Объем
78%
Демократическая партия
$26,514 Объем
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s Republican-controlled legislature recently approved a new congressional map that eliminates the majority-Black 6th District previously held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields. The change follows a U.S. Supreme Court ruling invalidating the prior boundaries as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. The revised lines convert the district into a White-majority area expected to favor Republican candidates in the November 3, 2026, primary and any December runoff. Traders have adjusted probabilities accordingly, viewing the map as the decisive factor in shifting the race from its former Solid Democratic rating. No major candidate announcements or legal challenges have yet altered this consensus ahead of the filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$58,038Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s Republican-controlled legislature recently approved a new congressional map that eliminates the majority-Black 6th District previously held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields. The change follows a U.S. Supreme Court ruling invalidating the prior boundaries as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. The revised lines convert the district into a White-majority area expected to favor Republican candidates in the November 3, 2026, primary and any December runoff. Traders have adjusted probabilities accordingly, viewing the map as the decisive factor in shifting the race from its former Solid Democratic rating. No major candidate announcements or legal challenges have yet altered this consensus ahead of the filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$58,038Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s Republican-controlled legislature recently approved a new congressional map that eliminates the majority-Black 6th District previously held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields. The change follows a U.S. Supreme Court ruling invalidating the prior boundaries as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. The revised lines convert the district into a White-majority area expected to favor Republican candidates in the November 3, 2026, primary and any December runoff. Traders have adjusted probabilities accordingly, viewing the map as the decisive factor in shifting the race from its former Solid Democratic rating. No major candidate announcements or legal challenges have yet altered this consensus ahead of the filing deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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