Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s April 29, 2026, ruling in Louisiana v. Callais has reshaped Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District, shifting its partisan balance toward Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election. The decision struck down the prior map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting new boundaries that traders view as more favorable to GOP candidates. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican primary challengers in a district previously rated D+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. These map changes, combined with Louisiana’s closed-party primary system, have driven the market’s current 78% implied probability for a Republican win and 18.5% for a Democratic victory, reflecting trader consensus on the altered electoral landscape.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
$58,038 Объем
$58,038 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
78%
Демократическая партия
17%
$58,038 Объем
$58,038 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$31,524 Объем
78%
Демократическая партия
$26,514 Объем
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s April 29, 2026, ruling in Louisiana v. Callais has reshaped Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District, shifting its partisan balance toward Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election. The decision struck down the prior map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting new boundaries that traders view as more favorable to GOP candidates. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican primary challengers in a district previously rated D+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. These map changes, combined with Louisiana’s closed-party primary system, have driven the market’s current 78% implied probability for a Republican win and 18.5% for a Democratic victory, reflecting trader consensus on the altered electoral landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$58,038Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s April 29, 2026, ruling in Louisiana v. Callais has reshaped Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District, shifting its partisan balance toward Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election. The decision struck down the prior map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting new boundaries that traders view as more favorable to GOP candidates. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican primary challengers in a district previously rated D+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. These map changes, combined with Louisiana’s closed-party primary system, have driven the market’s current 78% implied probability for a Republican win and 18.5% for a Democratic victory, reflecting trader consensus on the altered electoral landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$58,038Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s April 29, 2026, ruling in Louisiana v. Callais has reshaped Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District, shifting its partisan balance toward Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election. The decision struck down the prior map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting new boundaries that traders view as more favorable to GOP candidates. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican primary challengers in a district previously rated D+8 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. These map changes, combined with Louisiana’s closed-party primary system, have driven the market’s current 78% implied probability for a Republican win and 18.5% for a Democratic victory, reflecting trader consensus on the altered electoral landscape.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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