Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a Republican stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+23, driving trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP amid historical margins exceeding 46 points for recent winners like Harriet Hageman, who retired to run for U.S. Senate, opening the seat. A crowded Republican primary field—including Secretary of State Chuck Gray, Senate President Bo Biteman, and recent entrant Steve Friess on April 2—signals robust GOP competition without a declared Democratic challenger, reinforcing the lopsided odds. Scenarios to challenge include a divisive primary producing a weakened nominee, a late high-profile Democratic recruit, or a massive national midterm wave boosting turnout in this GOP trifecta state ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в WY-AL House
Победитель выборов в WY-AL House
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$7,814 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a Republican stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+23, driving trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP amid historical margins exceeding 46 points for recent winners like Harriet Hageman, who retired to run for U.S. Senate, opening the seat. A crowded Republican primary field—including Secretary of State Chuck Gray, Senate President Bo Biteman, and recent entrant Steve Friess on April 2—signals robust GOP competition without a declared Democratic challenger, reinforcing the lopsided odds. Scenarios to challenge include a divisive primary producing a weakened nominee, a late high-profile Democratic recruit, or a massive national midterm wave boosting turnout in this GOP trifecta state ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$7,814Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a Republican stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+23, driving trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP amid historical margins exceeding 46 points for recent winners like Harriet Hageman, who retired to run for U.S. Senate, opening the seat. A crowded Republican primary field—including Secretary of State Chuck Gray, Senate President Bo Biteman, and recent entrant Steve Friess on April 2—signals robust GOP competition without a declared Democratic challenger, reinforcing the lopsided odds. Scenarios to challenge include a divisive primary producing a weakened nominee, a late high-profile Democratic recruit, or a massive national midterm wave boosting turnout in this GOP trifecta state ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$7,814Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a Republican stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+23, driving trader consensus at 92.5% for the GOP amid historical margins exceeding 46 points for recent winners like Harriet Hageman, who retired to run for U.S. Senate, opening the seat. A crowded Republican primary field—including Secretary of State Chuck Gray, Senate President Bo Biteman, and recent entrant Steve Friess on April 2—signals robust GOP competition without a declared Democratic challenger, reinforcing the lopsided odds. Scenarios to challenge include a divisive primary producing a weakened nominee, a late high-profile Democratic recruit, or a massive national midterm wave boosting turnout in this GOP trifecta state ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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