Incumbent Democratic Representative Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga prevailed in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the seat's consistent partisan history, Adams' established incumbency advantages, and limited Republican investment or polling momentum. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, placing it among the nation's most reliably Democratic areas and aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the district's structural margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NC-12
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NC-12
$34,269 Объем
$34,269 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$34,269 Объем
$34,269 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$16,152 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$18,117 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga prevailed in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the seat's consistent partisan history, Adams' established incumbency advantages, and limited Republican investment or polling momentum. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, placing it among the nation's most reliably Democratic areas and aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the district's structural margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$34,269Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga prevailed in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the seat's consistent partisan history, Adams' established incumbency advantages, and limited Republican investment or polling momentum. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, placing it among the nation's most reliably Democratic areas and aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the district's structural margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,269Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Alma Adams secured her party's nomination with nearly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga prevailed in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory on November 3, reflecting the seat's consistent partisan history, Adams' established incumbency advantages, and limited Republican investment or polling momentum. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, placing it among the nation's most reliably Democratic areas and aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented national environment or late-cycle disruption capable of overcoming the district's structural margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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