Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following longtime incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement announcement, which opened the race for the November 2026 general election. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in a district with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly seven points and consistent strong performance in prior cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. Traders have priced these factors into the current 82.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee, with limited recent polling or campaign developments suggesting any meaningful shift in the general election outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-11
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-11
$18,517 Объем
$18,517 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
83%
Демократическая партия
15%
$18,517 Объем
$18,517 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$7,268 Объем
83%
Демократическая партия
$11,249 Объем
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following longtime incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement announcement, which opened the race for the November 2026 general election. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in a district with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly seven points and consistent strong performance in prior cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. Traders have priced these factors into the current 82.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee, with limited recent polling or campaign developments suggesting any meaningful shift in the general election outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Объем
$18,517Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following longtime incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement announcement, which opened the race for the November 2026 general election. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in a district with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly seven points and consistent strong performance in prior cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. Traders have priced these factors into the current 82.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee, with limited recent polling or campaign developments suggesting any meaningful shift in the general election outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,517Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following longtime incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement announcement, which opened the race for the November 2026 general election. Multiple candidates have filed for the August 18 Republican primary, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in a district with a partisan voting index favoring Republicans by roughly seven points and consistent strong performance in prior cycles. Independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. Traders have priced these factors into the current 82.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee, with limited recent polling or campaign developments suggesting any meaningful shift in the general election outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы