California’s 11th congressional district remains one of the nation’s safest Democratic seats, anchored in San Francisco with a partisan voting index exceeding D+35. Nancy Pelosi’s November 2025 retirement opened the seat for the first time in nearly four decades, drawing a crowded primary field dominated by Democratic contenders ahead of the June 2, 2026 primary and November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s consistent electoral history. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome shifting voter turnout could still alter the result, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current registration and voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$3,127 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$921 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district remains one of the nation’s safest Democratic seats, anchored in San Francisco with a partisan voting index exceeding D+35. Nancy Pelosi’s November 2025 retirement opened the seat for the first time in nearly four decades, drawing a crowded primary field dominated by Democratic contenders ahead of the June 2, 2026 primary and November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s consistent electoral history. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome shifting voter turnout could still alter the result, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current registration and voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$4,048Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district remains one of the nation’s safest Democratic seats, anchored in San Francisco with a partisan voting index exceeding D+35. Nancy Pelosi’s November 2025 retirement opened the seat for the first time in nearly four decades, drawing a crowded primary field dominated by Democratic contenders ahead of the June 2, 2026 primary and November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s consistent electoral history. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome shifting voter turnout could still alter the result, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current registration and voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$4,048Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 11th congressional district remains one of the nation’s safest Democratic seats, anchored in San Francisco with a partisan voting index exceeding D+35. Nancy Pelosi’s November 2025 retirement opened the seat for the first time in nearly four decades, drawing a crowded primary field dominated by Democratic contenders ahead of the June 2, 2026 primary and November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s consistent electoral history. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome shifting voter turnout could still alter the result, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current registration and voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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