California’s 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+36 Cook Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Former Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary advanced two Democrats—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, with no Republican advancing. This outcome aligns with the district’s voter registration and historical performance, where Democratic candidates have consistently secured large margins. Trader consensus at 97.2% for the Democratic Party incorporates these structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican candidate or major turnout changes not currently indicated by available data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
97%
Республиканская партия
3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$5,788 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$2,059 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+36 Cook Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Former Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary advanced two Democrats—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, with no Republican advancing. This outcome aligns with the district’s voter registration and historical performance, where Democratic candidates have consistently secured large margins. Trader consensus at 97.2% for the Democratic Party incorporates these structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican candidate or major turnout changes not currently indicated by available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$7,847Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+36 Cook Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Former Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary advanced two Democrats—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, with no Republican advancing. This outcome aligns with the district’s voter registration and historical performance, where Democratic candidates have consistently secured large margins. Trader consensus at 97.2% for the Democratic Party incorporates these structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican candidate or major turnout changes not currently indicated by available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$7,847Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+36 Cook Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Former Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2, 2026, primary advanced two Democrats—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election, with no Republican advancing. This outcome aligns with the district’s voter registration and historical performance, where Democratic candidates have consistently secured large margins. Trader consensus at 97.2% for the Democratic Party incorporates these structural factors and the absence of competitive opposition. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Republican candidate or major turnout changes not currently indicated by available data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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