California’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Doris Matsui holds endorsements from party leadership and local officials ahead of the June 2 primary, where she leads challengers including Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang. The district’s voter registration and historical results limit Republican prospects, with GOP primary candidates Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden trailing significantly in early indicators. Factors that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health issue for Matsui, or unexpected primary outcome that produces a weaker general-election candidate, though such shifts remain low-probability events under present conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$1,855 Объем
92%
Республиканская партия
$715 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Doris Matsui holds endorsements from party leadership and local officials ahead of the June 2 primary, where she leads challengers including Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang. The district’s voter registration and historical results limit Republican prospects, with GOP primary candidates Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden trailing significantly in early indicators. Factors that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health issue for Matsui, or unexpected primary outcome that produces a weaker general-election candidate, though such shifts remain low-probability events under present conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$2,569Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Doris Matsui holds endorsements from party leadership and local officials ahead of the June 2 primary, where she leads challengers including Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang. The district’s voter registration and historical results limit Republican prospects, with GOP primary candidates Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden trailing significantly in early indicators. Factors that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health issue for Matsui, or unexpected primary outcome that produces a weaker general-election candidate, though such shifts remain low-probability events under present conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$2,569Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Doris Matsui holds endorsements from party leadership and local officials ahead of the June 2 primary, where she leads challengers including Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang. The district’s voter registration and historical results limit Republican prospects, with GOP primary candidates Ralph Nwobi and Zachariah Wooden trailing significantly in early indicators. Factors that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health issue for Matsui, or unexpected primary outcome that produces a weaker general-election candidate, though such shifts remain low-probability events under present conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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