The strong Democratic lean of California's 44th congressional district, reinforced by its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Nanette Barragán advances from the June 2 top-two primary against limited Republican opposition, including challenger Genevieve Angel, with no major shifts in registration or redistricting effects from Proposition 50 altering the structural advantage. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, candidate withdrawal, or significant scandal could still influence the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-44 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-44 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$21,535 Объем
$21,535 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
6%
$21,535 Объем
$21,535 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$13,354 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$8,181 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 44th congressional district, reinforced by its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Nanette Barragán advances from the June 2 top-two primary against limited Republican opposition, including challenger Genevieve Angel, with no major shifts in registration or redistricting effects from Proposition 50 altering the structural advantage. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, candidate withdrawal, or significant scandal could still influence the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Объем
$21,535Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 44th congressional district, reinforced by its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Nanette Barragán advances from the June 2 top-two primary against limited Republican opposition, including challenger Genevieve Angel, with no major shifts in registration or redistricting effects from Proposition 50 altering the structural advantage. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, candidate withdrawal, or significant scandal could still influence the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,535Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 44th congressional district, reinforced by its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and statewide contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Nanette Barragán advances from the June 2 top-two primary against limited Republican opposition, including challenger Genevieve Angel, with no major shifts in registration or redistricting effects from Proposition 50 altering the structural advantage. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing. Late developments such as an unexpected primary surge, candidate withdrawal, or significant scandal could still influence the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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