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Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей UT-02

Market icon
Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей UT-02

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Демократическая партия

$0 Объем

16%

Республиканская партия

$0 Объем

59%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 59% to win Utah's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Republican-leaning PVI (R+12) and incumbent Celeste Maloy's advantages following her June primary victory over challenger Colby Jenkins and 2023 special election win by 13 points. Democrats trail at 16%, hampered by nominee Frank Siciliano's weaker fundraising—Maloy holds $1.2 million cash-on-hand versus Siciliano's under $150,000 per late September FEC reports—and a lopsided GOP registration edge (48% Republican vs. 12% Democratic). No recent polls exist, but historical turnout favors Republicans in this Salt Lake City-area battleground; early voting starts October 22 ahead of the November 5 general election, where national House trends could tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 59% to win Utah's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Republican-leaning PVI (R+12) and incumbent Celeste Maloy's advantages following her June primary victory over challenger Colby Jenkins and 2023 special election win by 13 points. Democrats trail at 16%, hampered by nominee Frank Siciliano's weaker fundraising—Maloy holds $1.2 million cash-on-hand versus Siciliano's under $150,000 per late September FEC reports—and a lopsided GOP registration edge (48% Republican vs. 12% Democratic). No recent polls exist, but historical turnout favors Republicans in this Salt Lake City-area battleground; early voting starts October 22 ahead of the November 5 general election, where national House trends could tip the balance.

Trader consensus prices the Republican Party at 59% to win Utah's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Republican-leaning PVI (R+12) and incumbent Celeste Maloy's advantages following her June primary victory over challenger Colby Jenkins and 2023 special election win by 13 points. Democrats trail at 16%, hampered by nominee Frank Siciliano's weaker fundraising—Maloy holds $1.2 million cash-on-hand versus Siciliano's under $150,000 per late September FEC reports—and a lopsided GOP registration edge (48% Republican vs. 12% Democratic). No recent polls exist, but historical turnout favors Republicans in this Salt Lake City-area battleground; early voting starts October 22 ahead of the November 5 general election, where national House trends could tip the balance.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Палату представителей UT-02» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканская партия» с 59%, за ним следует «Демократическая партия» с 16%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 59¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов в Палату представителей UT-02» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Dec 16, 2025. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей UT-02», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей UT-02» — «Республиканская партия» с 59%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократическая партия» с 16%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей UT-02» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.