In Iowa's competitive 3rd Congressional District—a swing district Biden won by 7 points in 2020 despite its R+4 partisan lean—trader consensus favors Democrat Christina Bohannan at 52.5% over Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks at 42%, driven by recent polls showing Bohannan ahead. An Emerson College survey (Oct. 22–24) has Bohannan leading 47%–45% with 6% undecided, while aggregates like Race to the WH rate it a Toss-up with a Democratic tilt. Bohannan's fundraising edge ($3.5M vs. $2.8M cash-on-hand) and strong performance in last week's debate have boosted her momentum, amid focus on abortion rights, agriculture subsidies, and border security. Early voting is underway, with a final debate October 30 potentially decisive before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоIA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
53%
Республиканская партия
42%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
53%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa's competitive 3rd Congressional District—a swing district Biden won by 7 points in 2020 despite its R+4 partisan lean—trader consensus favors Democrat Christina Bohannan at 52.5% over Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks at 42%, driven by recent polls showing Bohannan ahead. An Emerson College survey (Oct. 22–24) has Bohannan leading 47%–45% with 6% undecided, while aggregates like Race to the WH rate it a Toss-up with a Democratic tilt. Bohannan's fundraising edge ($3.5M vs. $2.8M cash-on-hand) and strong performance in last week's debate have boosted her momentum, amid focus on abortion rights, agriculture subsidies, and border security. Early voting is underway, with a final debate October 30 potentially decisive before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa's competitive 3rd Congressional District—a swing district Biden won by 7 points in 2020 despite its R+4 partisan lean—trader consensus favors Democrat Christina Bohannan at 52.5% over Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks at 42%, driven by recent polls showing Bohannan ahead. An Emerson College survey (Oct. 22–24) has Bohannan leading 47%–45% with 6% undecided, while aggregates like Race to the WH rate it a Toss-up with a Democratic tilt. Bohannan's fundraising edge ($3.5M vs. $2.8M cash-on-hand) and strong performance in last week's debate have boosted her momentum, amid focus on abortion rights, agriculture subsidies, and border security. Early voting is underway, with a final debate October 30 potentially decisive before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Iowa's competitive 3rd Congressional District—a swing district Biden won by 7 points in 2020 despite its R+4 partisan lean—trader consensus favors Democrat Christina Bohannan at 52.5% over Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks at 42%, driven by recent polls showing Bohannan ahead. An Emerson College survey (Oct. 22–24) has Bohannan leading 47%–45% with 6% undecided, while aggregates like Race to the WH rate it a Toss-up with a Democratic tilt. Bohannan's fundraising edge ($3.5M vs. $2.8M cash-on-hand) and strong performance in last week's debate have boosted her momentum, amid focus on abortion rights, agriculture subsidies, and border security. Early voting is underway, with a final debate October 30 potentially decisive before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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