Incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick's dominant fundraising position, with over $7.3 million cash-on-hand reported in early February, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 60.5% implied probability in Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race. A crowded Democratic primary field, featuring multiple challengers like Bob Harvie without a clear frontrunner following March 11 filing deadlines, fragments opposition ahead of the May 19 primary. Fitzpatrick's moderate record and history of suburban Bucks and Montgomery County victories provide incumbency edge in this battleground, though Democrats eye a unified nominee to contest the November 3 general election amid national midterm dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-01
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-01
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Республиканская партия
61%
Демократическая партия
39%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
61%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick's dominant fundraising position, with over $7.3 million cash-on-hand reported in early February, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 60.5% implied probability in Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race. A crowded Democratic primary field, featuring multiple challengers like Bob Harvie without a clear frontrunner following March 11 filing deadlines, fragments opposition ahead of the May 19 primary. Fitzpatrick's moderate record and history of suburban Bucks and Montgomery County victories provide incumbency edge in this battleground, though Democrats eye a unified nominee to contest the November 3 general election amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick's dominant fundraising position, with over $7.3 million cash-on-hand reported in early February, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 60.5% implied probability in Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race. A crowded Democratic primary field, featuring multiple challengers like Bob Harvie without a clear frontrunner following March 11 filing deadlines, fragments opposition ahead of the May 19 primary. Fitzpatrick's moderate record and history of suburban Bucks and Montgomery County victories provide incumbency edge in this battleground, though Democrats eye a unified nominee to contest the November 3 general election amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick's dominant fundraising position, with over $7.3 million cash-on-hand reported in early February, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 60.5% implied probability in Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race. A crowded Democratic primary field, featuring multiple challengers like Bob Harvie without a clear frontrunner following March 11 filing deadlines, fragments opposition ahead of the May 19 primary. Fitzpatrick's moderate record and history of suburban Bucks and Montgomery County victories provide incumbency edge in this battleground, though Democrats eye a unified nominee to contest the November 3 general election amid national midterm dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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