Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick commands 62% trader consensus to retain Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by his overwhelming $7.4 million cash-on-hand lead reported in late 2025 FEC filings—dwarfing top Democratic challenger Bob Harvie's $408,000. This fundraising dominance, coupled with his moderate brand in Bucks County suburbs, underpins Cook Political Report's Likely R rating and similar Lean R assessments from Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball, despite the district's D+1 partisan voting index. A crowded Democratic primary field—including Harvie, Tracy Hunt, Lucia Simonelli, and Rob Strickler—set after the March 10 filing deadline risks producing a under-resourced nominee ahead of the May 19 primary, reinforcing Fitzpatrick's incumbency edge in this battleground race pivotal to House control.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-01
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-01
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Республиканская партия
66%
Демократическая партия
38%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
66%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick commands 62% trader consensus to retain Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by his overwhelming $7.4 million cash-on-hand lead reported in late 2025 FEC filings—dwarfing top Democratic challenger Bob Harvie's $408,000. This fundraising dominance, coupled with his moderate brand in Bucks County suburbs, underpins Cook Political Report's Likely R rating and similar Lean R assessments from Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball, despite the district's D+1 partisan voting index. A crowded Democratic primary field—including Harvie, Tracy Hunt, Lucia Simonelli, and Rob Strickler—set after the March 10 filing deadline risks producing a under-resourced nominee ahead of the May 19 primary, reinforcing Fitzpatrick's incumbency edge in this battleground race pivotal to House control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick commands 62% trader consensus to retain Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by his overwhelming $7.4 million cash-on-hand lead reported in late 2025 FEC filings—dwarfing top Democratic challenger Bob Harvie's $408,000. This fundraising dominance, coupled with his moderate brand in Bucks County suburbs, underpins Cook Political Report's Likely R rating and similar Lean R assessments from Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball, despite the district's D+1 partisan voting index. A crowded Democratic primary field—including Harvie, Tracy Hunt, Lucia Simonelli, and Rob Strickler—set after the March 10 filing deadline risks producing a under-resourced nominee ahead of the May 19 primary, reinforcing Fitzpatrick's incumbency edge in this battleground race pivotal to House control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick commands 62% trader consensus to retain Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by his overwhelming $7.4 million cash-on-hand lead reported in late 2025 FEC filings—dwarfing top Democratic challenger Bob Harvie's $408,000. This fundraising dominance, coupled with his moderate brand in Bucks County suburbs, underpins Cook Political Report's Likely R rating and similar Lean R assessments from Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball, despite the district's D+1 partisan voting index. A crowded Democratic primary field—including Harvie, Tracy Hunt, Lucia Simonelli, and Rob Strickler—set after the March 10 filing deadline risks producing a under-resourced nominee ahead of the May 19 primary, reinforcing Fitzpatrick's incumbency edge in this battleground race pivotal to House control.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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