Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Dan Cox at 53% implied probability to win the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting his status as the 2022 nominee and strong backing from the Trump-aligned wing of the state GOP, bolstered by a June 2024 Emerson College poll showing him at 29% among primary voters. Ed Hale trails at 26.1%, gaining traction as a self-funded Ocean City businessman emphasizing economic issues and moderate appeal, per recent fundraising reports exceeding $1 million. Former Governor Larry Hogan's April 2024 decision against running shifted odds toward Cox, while lower-tier candidates like Christopher Bouchat (8%) and Carl Brunner (5.5%) draw niche support amid an open field ahead of the June 2026 primary; early polls underscore high uncertainty from potential entrants and shifts in voter turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДэн Кокс 53%
Эд Хейл 26.0%
Кристофер Буша 9%
Курт Ведекинд 3.2%
$10,134 Объем
$10,134 Объем
Дэн Кокс
53%
Эд Хейл
26%
Кристофер Буша
9%
Курт Ведекинд
3%
Ларри Хоган
3%
Стив Херши
3%
Джон Мирик
2%
Карл Бруннер
6%
Дэн Кокс 53%
Эд Хейл 26.0%
Кристофер Буша 9%
Курт Ведекинд 3.2%
$10,134 Объем
$10,134 Объем
Дэн Кокс
53%
Эд Хейл
26%
Кристофер Буша
9%
Курт Ведекинд
3%
Ларри Хоган
3%
Стив Херши
3%
Джон Мирик
2%
Карл Бруннер
6%
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Dan Cox at 53% implied probability to win the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting his status as the 2022 nominee and strong backing from the Trump-aligned wing of the state GOP, bolstered by a June 2024 Emerson College poll showing him at 29% among primary voters. Ed Hale trails at 26.1%, gaining traction as a self-funded Ocean City businessman emphasizing economic issues and moderate appeal, per recent fundraising reports exceeding $1 million. Former Governor Larry Hogan's April 2024 decision against running shifted odds toward Cox, while lower-tier candidates like Christopher Bouchat (8%) and Carl Brunner (5.5%) draw niche support amid an open field ahead of the June 2026 primary; early polls underscore high uncertainty from potential entrants and shifts in voter turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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