Dan Cox commands a 53.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his 2022 nomination victory as a Trump-aligned state delegate appealing to the conservative base in a low-turnout contest. Self-funded businessman Ed Hale follows at 32.5%, gaining from his February 2024 campaign announcement and resources to challenge Cox's dominance among moderates. Former Governor Larry Hogan persists at 3.4% despite declining to run, while niche candidates like Christopher Bouchat (5.5%) and Kurt Wedekind (3.5%) draw limited support in the crowded field. Absent recent polls, endorsements, or events in the past 30 days, odds hinge on established primary dynamics ahead of the 2026 contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДэн Кокс 54%
Эд Хейл 32.5%
Кристофер Буша 6%
Курт Ведекинд 3.5%
$17,264 Объем
$17,264 Объем
Jun 23, 2026
Дэн Кокс
54%
Эд Хейл
33%
Кристофер Буша
6%
Курт Ведекинд
3%
Ларри Хоган
3%
Стив Херши
2%
Джон Мирик
2%
Карл Бруннер
1%
Дэн Кокс 54%
Эд Хейл 32.5%
Кристофер Буша 6%
Курт Ведекинд 3.5%
$17,264 Объем
$17,264 Объем
Jun 23, 2026
Дэн Кокс
$1,000 Объем
54%
Эд Хейл
$11,238 Объем
33%
Кристофер Буша
$5,026 Объем
6%
Курт Ведекинд
$0 Объем
3%
Ларри Хоган
$0 Объем
3%
Стив Херши
$0 Объем
2%
Джон Мирик
$0 Объем
2%
Карл Бруннер
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Объем
$17,264Дата окончания
Jun 23, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Объем
$17,264Дата окончания
Jun 23, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dan Cox commands a 53.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his 2022 nomination victory as a Trump-aligned state delegate appealing to the conservative base in a low-turnout contest. Self-funded businessman Ed Hale follows at 32.5%, gaining from his February 2024 campaign announcement and resources to challenge Cox's dominance among moderates. Former Governor Larry Hogan persists at 3.4% despite declining to run, while niche candidates like Christopher Bouchat (5.5%) and Kurt Wedekind (3.5%) draw limited support in the crowded field. Absent recent polls, endorsements, or events in the past 30 days, odds hinge on established primary dynamics ahead of the 2026 contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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