Polymarket traders price Democratic victory at 64.5% in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House race, driven by recent polling averages showing challenger Janelle Stelson ahead of incumbent Republican Scott Perry by 3-7 points across Emerson, RMG Research, and internal campaign surveys from late October. This battleground district, which Donald Trump won by 7 points in 2020, reflects Democratic gains from Stelson's fundraising advantage—raising over $7 million versus Perry's $4 million—and strong early voting turnout in suburban areas. Perry's incumbency provides a base, but national headwinds for Republicans and local focus on issues like abortion rights and economy bolster Stelson's path. With Election Day on November 5, final absentee ballot counts and swing voter shifts remain key uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-10
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей PA-10
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
65%
Республиканская партия
33%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
65%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Polymarket traders price Democratic victory at 64.5% in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House race, driven by recent polling averages showing challenger Janelle Stelson ahead of incumbent Republican Scott Perry by 3-7 points across Emerson, RMG Research, and internal campaign surveys from late October. This battleground district, which Donald Trump won by 7 points in 2020, reflects Democratic gains from Stelson's fundraising advantage—raising over $7 million versus Perry's $4 million—and strong early voting turnout in suburban areas. Perry's incumbency provides a base, but national headwinds for Republicans and local focus on issues like abortion rights and economy bolster Stelson's path. With Election Day on November 5, final absentee ballot counts and swing voter shifts remain key uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Polymarket traders price Democratic victory at 64.5% in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House race, driven by recent polling averages showing challenger Janelle Stelson ahead of incumbent Republican Scott Perry by 3-7 points across Emerson, RMG Research, and internal campaign surveys from late October. This battleground district, which Donald Trump won by 7 points in 2020, reflects Democratic gains from Stelson's fundraising advantage—raising over $7 million versus Perry's $4 million—and strong early voting turnout in suburban areas. Perry's incumbency provides a base, but national headwinds for Republicans and local focus on issues like abortion rights and economy bolster Stelson's path. With Election Day on November 5, final absentee ballot counts and swing voter shifts remain key uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Democratic victory at 64.5% in Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District House race, driven by recent polling averages showing challenger Janelle Stelson ahead of incumbent Republican Scott Perry by 3-7 points across Emerson, RMG Research, and internal campaign surveys from late October. This battleground district, which Donald Trump won by 7 points in 2020, reflects Democratic gains from Stelson's fundraising advantage—raising over $7 million versus Perry's $4 million—and strong early voting turnout in suburban areas. Perry's incumbency provides a base, but national headwinds for Republicans and local focus on issues like abortion rights and economy bolster Stelson's path. With Election Day on November 5, final absentee ballot counts and swing voter shifts remain key uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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