Virginia's 10th Congressional District maintains a Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and historical voting patterns in Northern Virginia. Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam holds the seat after winning in 2024, with the August 4 primary and November 3 general election still months away. A May 2026 Virginia Supreme Court ruling struck down a proposed mid-decade redistricting map favored by Democrats, preserving the existing boundaries and limiting Republican opportunities to reshape the district. Republican primary contenders including Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, and Sam Wong show limited fundraising and organization. Trader consensus on these probabilities incorporates the district's structural advantages for Democrats alongside the absence of major shifts in the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-10
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей VA-10
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
30%
Демократическая партия
51%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$267 Объем
30%
Демократическая партия
$313 Объем
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 10th Congressional District maintains a Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and historical voting patterns in Northern Virginia. Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam holds the seat after winning in 2024, with the August 4 primary and November 3 general election still months away. A May 2026 Virginia Supreme Court ruling struck down a proposed mid-decade redistricting map favored by Democrats, preserving the existing boundaries and limiting Republican opportunities to reshape the district. Republican primary contenders including Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, and Sam Wong show limited fundraising and organization. Trader consensus on these probabilities incorporates the district's structural advantages for Democrats alongside the absence of major shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Объем
$580Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 10th Congressional District maintains a Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and historical voting patterns in Northern Virginia. Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam holds the seat after winning in 2024, with the August 4 primary and November 3 general election still months away. A May 2026 Virginia Supreme Court ruling struck down a proposed mid-decade redistricting map favored by Democrats, preserving the existing boundaries and limiting Republican opportunities to reshape the district. Republican primary contenders including Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, and Sam Wong show limited fundraising and organization. Trader consensus on these probabilities incorporates the district's structural advantages for Democrats alongside the absence of major shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$580Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 10th Congressional District maintains a Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and historical voting patterns in Northern Virginia. Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam holds the seat after winning in 2024, with the August 4 primary and November 3 general election still months away. A May 2026 Virginia Supreme Court ruling struck down a proposed mid-decade redistricting map favored by Democrats, preserving the existing boundaries and limiting Republican opportunities to reshape the district. Republican primary contenders including Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, and Sam Wong show limited fundraising and organization. Trader consensus on these probabilities incorporates the district's structural advantages for Democrats alongside the absence of major shifts in the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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