Incumbent Rep. Rick Allen's (R) longstanding hold on Georgia's 12th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with no competitive race since 2014, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 85.5%. The March 6 filing deadline confirmed Allen's re-election bid amid a fragmented Democratic primary featuring at least five challengers, weakening potential general election opposition ahead of the May 19 primaries. Strong historical margins, Trump endorsement in January, and Allen's fundraising edge reinforce low upset risk in this R-leaning district, though national midterm dynamics or scandals could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей GA-12
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей GA-12
Республиканская партия
85%
Демократическая партия
14%
Республиканская партия
85%
Демократическая партия
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Rick Allen's (R) longstanding hold on Georgia's 12th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with no competitive race since 2014, drives trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 85.5%. The March 6 filing deadline confirmed Allen's re-election bid amid a fragmented Democratic primary featuring at least five challengers, weakening potential general election opposition ahead of the May 19 primaries. Strong historical margins, Trump endorsement in January, and Allen's fundraising edge reinforce low upset risk in this R-leaning district, though national midterm dynamics or scandals could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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