Incumbent Republican Tim Moore's dominant 83% win in the March 3 primary, paired with Democrat Lakesha Womack's narrower 52% victory on the same day, has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% for a GOP hold in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election. The suburban Charlotte seat carries an R+8 partisan voter index—the 157th most Republican nationally—and supported Trump by 15 points, aligning with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Moore's prior 2024 general election margin of 58% and $1.5 million cash-on-hand further reinforce his incumbency advantage, though national midterm trends or turnout shifts could narrow the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNC-14 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NC-14 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Республиканская партия
84%
Демократическая партия
15%
Республиканская партия
84%
Демократическая партия
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Moore's dominant 83% win in the March 3 primary, paired with Democrat Lakesha Womack's narrower 52% victory on the same day, has solidified trader consensus at 83.5% for a GOP hold in North Carolina's 14th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election. The suburban Charlotte seat carries an R+8 partisan voter index—the 157th most Republican nationally—and supported Trump by 15 points, aligning with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others. Moore's prior 2024 general election margin of 58% and $1.5 million cash-on-hand further reinforce his incumbency advantage, though national midterm trends or turnout shifts could narrow the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы