In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 4, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among Mayor Brad Cohen at 35%, Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 33%, and Assemblywoman Susan Altman at 23%, driven by a fragmented field splitting progressive, moderate, and establishment support. Cohen's narrow edge stems from superior fundraising exceeding $1 million and endorsements from EMILYs List and labor unions, per recent FEC filings. Reynolds-Jackson remains competitive with retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's endorsement and legislative experience appealing to the district's diverse voters. Altman's moderate profile garners local backing. An Emerson College poll last week showed Cohen leading 23%-22% over Reynolds-Jackson amid 25% undecideds, underscoring volatility; late endorsements, turnout in urban precincts, or final debates could tip the balance in this open-seat race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель демократической праймериз NJ-12
Победитель демократической праймериз NJ-12
Брэд Коэн 36%
Верлина Рейнольдс-Джексон 25%
Сьюзан Альтман 16%
Адам Хамауи 7%
$23,435 Объем
$23,435 Объем
Брэд Коэн
36%
Верлина Рейнольдс-Джексон
33%
Сьюзан Альтман
22%
Адам Хамауи
7%
Мэтью Адамс
5%
Адриан Мэпп
4%
Элайджа Диксон
3%
Майкл Андерсон
2%
Кайл Литтл
2%
Рэймонд Хек
2%
Теннил Р. Маккой
1%
Брэд Коэн 36%
Верлина Рейнольдс-Джексон 25%
Сьюзан Альтман 16%
Адам Хамауи 7%
$23,435 Объем
$23,435 Объем
Брэд Коэн
36%
Верлина Рейнольдс-Джексон
33%
Сьюзан Альтман
22%
Адам Хамауи
7%
Мэтью Адамс
5%
Адриан Мэпп
4%
Элайджа Диксон
3%
Майкл Андерсон
2%
Кайл Литтл
2%
Рэймонд Хек
2%
Теннил Р. Маккой
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 4, trader consensus reflects a tight three-way contest among Mayor Brad Cohen at 35%, Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson at 33%, and Assemblywoman Susan Altman at 23%, driven by a fragmented field splitting progressive, moderate, and establishment support. Cohen's narrow edge stems from superior fundraising exceeding $1 million and endorsements from EMILYs List and labor unions, per recent FEC filings. Reynolds-Jackson remains competitive with retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's endorsement and legislative experience appealing to the district's diverse voters. Altman's moderate profile garners local backing. An Emerson College poll last week showed Cohen leading 23%-22% over Reynolds-Jackson amid 25% undecideds, underscoring volatility; late endorsements, turnout in urban precincts, or final debates could tip the balance in this open-seat race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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