The May 11 Democratic nominating convention produced a narrow upset when Luke Bronin captured the party endorsement over 14-term incumbent John Larson on the second ballot, 51.2% to 48.8%. That result, described as unprecedented for a sitting member of Congress in Connecticut, shifted momentum in the August 11 three-way primary that also includes state Rep. Jillian Gilchrest, who cleared the 15% threshold with support from Larson allies. Bronin’s convention performance has driven trader consensus toward him as the frontrunner, while Larson’s subsequent efforts to reframe the contest around ideological and donor issues have yet to reverse the delegate setback. The remaining candidates trail well behind in both ballot access and visible support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCT-01 Победитель демократических праймериз
Luke Bronin 59%
John Larson 38%
Jillian Gilchrest 2.9%
Ruth Fortune 2.5%
$10,577 Объем
$10,577 Объем
Luke Bronin
59%
John Larson
38%
Jillian Gilchrest
3%
Ruth Fortune
3%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
<1%
Luke Bronin 59%
John Larson 38%
Jillian Gilchrest 2.9%
Ruth Fortune 2.5%
$10,577 Объем
$10,577 Объем
Luke Bronin
59%
John Larson
38%
Jillian Gilchrest
3%
Ruth Fortune
3%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The May 11 Democratic nominating convention produced a narrow upset when Luke Bronin captured the party endorsement over 14-term incumbent John Larson on the second ballot, 51.2% to 48.8%. That result, described as unprecedented for a sitting member of Congress in Connecticut, shifted momentum in the August 11 three-way primary that also includes state Rep. Jillian Gilchrest, who cleared the 15% threshold with support from Larson allies. Bronin’s convention performance has driven trader consensus toward him as the frontrunner, while Larson’s subsequent efforts to reframe the contest around ideological and donor issues have yet to reverse the delegate setback. The remaining candidates trail well behind in both ballot access and visible support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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