Florida’s strong Republican tilt, reinforced by President Trump’s 13-point 2024 victory and the party’s unbroken hold on the governorship since 1994, drives trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in November 2026. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 primary features U.S. Representative Byron Donalds as the clear frontrunner after securing former President Trump’s endorsement and leading recent surveys by wide margins. Democratic primary polling shows David Jolly ahead but general-election matchups remain competitive at best, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Recent mid-May surveys confirm Republican advantages on the generic ballot and in head-to-head tests, though the still-developing field leaves room for shifts before filing closes in June.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Флориды
$19,658 Объем
$19,658 Объем

Республиканец
81%

Демократ
19%
$19,658 Объем
$19,658 Объем

Республиканец
81%

Демократ
19%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s strong Republican tilt, reinforced by President Trump’s 13-point 2024 victory and the party’s unbroken hold on the governorship since 1994, drives trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in November 2026. With incumbent Ron DeSantis term-limited, the August 18 primary features U.S. Representative Byron Donalds as the clear frontrunner after securing former President Trump’s endorsement and leading recent surveys by wide margins. Democratic primary polling shows David Jolly ahead but general-election matchups remain competitive at best, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Republican. Recent mid-May surveys confirm Republican advantages on the generic ballot and in head-to-head tests, though the still-developing field leaves room for shifts before filing closes in June.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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